Football · Austria 2. Liga · 13/09, 10:30

Prediction: FC Liefering vs St Polten

Team pages: FC Liefering · St Polten

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

FC Liefering1.25

St Polten1.32

1X2

35% 27% 38%

FC Liefering Draw St Polten

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Liefering 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWLDWW

St Polten 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDDWWLLLLW

Head-to-head

FC Liefering 3–2–1 St Polten (6 last)

St Polten0-0FC Liefering
FC Liefering3-1St Polten
FC Liefering2-4St Polten
St Polten0-0FC Liefering
FC Liefering3-1St Polten
St Polten0-1FC Liefering

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Liefering 1549 · St Polten 1451

	FC Liefering	Draw	St Polten
Our model	34%	29%	37%
Market	36%	25%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Liefering (rating 1549 vs 1451).
H2H favours FC Liefering: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Liefering	St Polten
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.1	0.5 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.8	2.9 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.2	4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.60

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.73 ★
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.73
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.5% Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:25	2.55	3.60	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:38 +527’	2.73	3.73	2.31

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Liefering 3–2–1 St Polten

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Austria 2. Liga	St Polten	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Liefering
24/10/25 Austria 2. Liga	FC Liefering	3-1 HT 0-0	St Polten
21/04/25 Austria 2. Liga	FC Liefering	2-4 HT 1-1	St Polten
18/10/24 Austria 2. Liga	St Polten	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Liefering
02/03/24 Austria 2. Liga	FC Liefering	3-1 HT 2-1	St Polten
11/08/23 Austria 2. Liga	St Polten	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Liefering

Standings · Austria 2. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Blau Weiss Linz	5	4	0	1	13	3	12
2	FC Liefering	5	3	1	1	13	8	10
3	First Vienna FC 1894	5	3	1	1	9	6	10
4	Floridsdorfer AC	5	3	1	1	9	6	10
5	FK Austria Vienna II	5	3	0	2	7	6	9
6	FC Wacker Innsbruck	5	3	0	2	7	5	9
7	SV Austria Salzburg	5	3	0	2	10	7	9
8	SW Bregenz	5	2	1	2	6	10	7
9	Sturm Graz II	5	2	0	3	10	13	6
10	SKU Amstetten	5	1	3	1	6	6	6
11	Admira Wacker	5	2	0	3	6	5	6
12	Rapid Vienna II	5	2	0	3	6	11	6
13	ASK Voitsberg	5	1	2	2	7	10	5
14	Hertha Wels	5	1	1	3	6	10	4
15	St Polten	5	1	0	4	1	4	3
16	SV Kapfenberg	5	1	0	4	6	12	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Liefering	St Polten
FK Austria Vienna II	2-1 W	0-1 L
Hertha Wels	2-3 L	1-0 W
SV Kapfenberg	4-0 W	3-0 W
Admira Wacker	3-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Liefering (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Liefering

DWWWWWLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	ASK Voitsberg Austria 2. Liga	1-1	3-2	5	7	W
21/08	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	10	5	W
16/08	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	1-0	2-2	6	4	D
07/08	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	1-1	2-3	4	6	L
31/07	SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga	2-0	4-0	1	5	W
14/05	Austria Klagenfurt Austria 2. Liga	1-1	3-2	12	1	W
08/05	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	1-0	3-0	6	6	W
02/05	SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga	4-1	4-1	3	4	W
24/04	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	2-0	2-0	5	1	W
19/04	St Polten Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	5	D

St Polten

DDDWWLLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
21/08	FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
14/08	FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
07/08	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
31/07	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	8	7	L
14/05	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
08/05	SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga	3-0	3-0	7	3	W
02/05	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
24/04	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
19/04	FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Liefering vs St Polten?

According to our model, the most likely result is an St Polten win (38%). Probabilities: FC Liefering 35%, draw 27%, St Polten 38%.

How many goals are expected in FC Liefering vs St Polten?

The model expects 2.57 goals (FC Liefering 1.25 · St Polten 1.32), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Liefering vs St Polten?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.