Football · Austria 2. Liga · 11/09, 18:30

Prediction: Rapid Vienna II vs First Vienna FC 1894

Team pages: Rapid Vienna II · First Vienna FC 1894

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Rapid Vienna II1.13

First Vienna FC 18941.61

1X2

26% 25% 48%

Rapid Vienna II Draw First Vienna FC 1894

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Rapid Vienna II 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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First Vienna FC 1894 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Rapid Vienna II 2–2–2 First Vienna FC 1894 (6 last)

Rapid Vienna II1-0First Vienna FC 1894
First Vienna FC 18942-0Rapid Vienna II
Rapid Vienna II1-0First Vienna FC 1894
First Vienna FC 18943-1Rapid Vienna II
Rapid Vienna II2-2First Vienna FC 1894
First Vienna FC 18942-2Rapid Vienna II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rapid Vienna II 1523 · First Vienna FC 1894 1566

	Rapid Vienna II	Draw	First Vienna FC 1894
Our model	25%	27%	47%
Market	27%	24%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours First Vienna FC 1894 (rating 1523 vs 1566).
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rapid Vienna II	First Vienna FC 1894
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.1	1.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4	2.1 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	3.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.80

21.87

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.71 ★
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 3.97
2	1.87 → 1.87	Bet365 1.87

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.2% Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:48 +15’	3.40	3.80	1.87

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:02 +1’	3.71	3.97	1.82

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rapid Vienna II 2–2–2 First Vienna FC 1894

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Austria 2. Liga	Rapid Vienna II	1-0 HT 0-0	First Vienna FC 1894
21/11/25 Austria 2. Liga	First Vienna FC 1894	2-0 HT 1-0	Rapid Vienna II
04/04/25 Austria 2. Liga	Rapid Vienna II	1-0 HT 1-0	First Vienna FC 1894
20/09/24 Austria 2. Liga	First Vienna FC 1894	3-1 HT 3-0	Rapid Vienna II
18/03/23 Austria 2. Liga	Rapid Vienna II	2-2 HT 0-2	First Vienna FC 1894
04/11/22 Austria 2. Liga	First Vienna FC 1894	2-2 HT 0-1	Rapid Vienna II

Standings · Austria 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Blau Weiss Linz	5	4	0	1	13	3	12
2	FC Liefering	5	3	1	1	13	8	10
3	First Vienna FC 1894	5	3	1	1	9	6	10
4	Floridsdorfer AC	5	3	1	1	9	6	10
5	FK Austria Vienna II	5	3	0	2	7	6	9
6	FC Wacker Innsbruck	5	3	0	2	7	5	9
7	SV Austria Salzburg	5	3	0	2	10	7	9
8	SW Bregenz	5	2	1	2	6	10	7
9	Sturm Graz II	5	2	0	3	10	13	6
10	SKU Amstetten	5	1	3	1	6	6	6
11	Admira Wacker	5	2	0	3	6	5	6
12	Rapid Vienna II	5	2	0	3	6	11	6
13	ASK Voitsberg	5	1	2	2	7	10	5
14	Hertha Wels	5	1	1	3	6	10	4
15	St Polten	5	1	0	4	1	4	3
16	SV Kapfenberg	5	1	0	4	6	12	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rapid Vienna II	First Vienna FC 1894
Sturm Graz II	2-5 L	4-0 W
Hertha Wels	2-1 W	1-0 W
Admira Wacker	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: First Vienna FC 1894 (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rapid Vienna II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Sturm Graz II Austria 2. Liga	1-2	2-5	0	6	L
22/08	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-2	6	2	L
14/08	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	8	3	W
08/08	ASK Voitsberg Austria 2. Liga	0-2	1-3	3	8	L
31/07	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
14/05	Sturm Graz II Austria 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
08/05	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
03/05	Austria Klagenfurt Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-2	6	2	L
17/04	Austria Lustenau Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-3	4	7	L
10/04	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	1-1	1-4	3	3	L

First Vienna FC 1894

DDWLWWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	SKU Amstetten Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
21/08	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
16/08	FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga	0-1	2-2	5	4	D
08/08	SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga	1-1	1-4	5	7	L
01/08	Sturm Graz II Austria 2. Liga	2-0	4-0	5	1	W
14/05	SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga	2-0	2-0	4	1	W
08/05	Rapid Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
02/05	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
24/04	SKU Amstetten Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
17/04	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rapid Vienna II vs First Vienna FC 1894?

According to our model, the most likely result is an First Vienna FC 1894 win (48%). Probabilities: Rapid Vienna II 26%, draw 25%, First Vienna FC 1894 48%.

How many goals are expected in Rapid Vienna II vs First Vienna FC 1894?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Rapid Vienna II 1.13 · First Vienna FC 1894 1.61), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Rapid Vienna II vs First Vienna FC 1894?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.