Football · Austria 2. Liga · 12/09, 15:30

Prediction: SW Bregenz vs Floridsdorfer AC

Team pages: SW Bregenz · Floridsdorfer AC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

SW Bregenz1.33

Floridsdorfer AC1.36

1X2

36% 28% 37%

SW Bregenz Draw Floridsdorfer AC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

SW Bregenz 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLWDWL

Floridsdorfer AC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWLWLDWW

Head-to-head

SW Bregenz 0–3–3 Floridsdorfer AC (6 last)

Floridsdorfer AC0-0SW Bregenz
Floridsdorfer AC2-0SW Bregenz
SW Bregenz1-1Floridsdorfer AC
SW Bregenz0-1Floridsdorfer AC
Floridsdorfer AC1-1SW Bregenz
SW Bregenz0-2Floridsdorfer AC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SW Bregenz 1501 · Floridsdorfer AC 1545

	SW Bregenz	Draw	Floridsdorfer AC
Our model	35%	28%	37%
Market	36%	27%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Floridsdorfer AC (rating 1501 vs 1545).
H2H favours Floridsdorfer AC: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SW Bregenz	Floridsdorfer AC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.2	2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.3	1.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.6	2.1 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.3	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.40

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.55▼	Bet365 2.55
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.49
2	2.30 → 2.45▲	Pinn 2.61 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.4% Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
00:46 +9’	2.75	3.40	2.30
13:31 +3’	2.55▼	3.40	2.45▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:31 +623’	2.73	3.49	2.42
13:06 +27’	2.52▼	3.49	2.61▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SW Bregenz 0–3–3 Floridsdorfer AC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/09/26 Austria Cup	Floridsdorfer AC	0-0 HT 0-0	SW Bregenz
10/03/26 Austria 2. Liga	Floridsdorfer AC	2-0 HT 1-0	SW Bregenz
15/08/25 Austria 2. Liga	SW Bregenz	1-1 HT 0-1	Floridsdorfer AC
21/04/25 Austria 2. Liga	SW Bregenz	0-1 HT 0-0	Floridsdorfer AC
18/10/24 Austria 2. Liga	Floridsdorfer AC	1-1 HT 1-0	SW Bregenz
19/04/24 Austria 2. Liga	SW Bregenz	0-2 HT 0-1	Floridsdorfer AC

Standings · Austria 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Blau Weiss Linz	5	4	0	1	13	3	12
2	FC Liefering	5	3	1	1	13	8	10
3	First Vienna FC 1894	5	3	1	1	9	6	10
4	Floridsdorfer AC	5	3	1	1	9	6	10
5	FK Austria Vienna II	5	3	0	2	7	6	9
6	FC Wacker Innsbruck	5	3	0	2	7	5	9
7	SV Austria Salzburg	5	3	0	2	10	7	9
8	SW Bregenz	5	2	1	2	6	10	7
9	Sturm Graz II	5	2	0	3	10	13	6
10	SKU Amstetten	5	1	3	1	6	6	6
11	Admira Wacker	5	2	0	3	6	5	6
12	Rapid Vienna II	5	2	0	3	6	11	6
13	ASK Voitsberg	5	1	2	2	7	10	5
14	Hertha Wels	5	1	1	3	6	10	4
15	St Polten	5	1	0	4	1	4	3
16	SV Kapfenberg	5	1	0	4	6	12	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SW Bregenz	Floridsdorfer AC
FK Austria Vienna II	0-2 L	5-0 W
Sturm Graz II	3-1 W	2-4 L
FC Wacker Innsbruck	0-5 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Floridsdorfer AC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SW Bregenz

LLLDLLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	3	9	L
22/08	Sturm Graz II Austria 2. Liga	2-1	3-1	2	4	W
15/08	ASK Voitsberg Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
08/08	SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga	1-0	3-2	8	6	W
31/07	FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria 2. Liga	0-4	0-5	4	3	L
14/05	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	0-2	0-2	3	1	L
08/05	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-2	2-2	7	4	D
03/05	Austria Lustenau Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
24/04	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	1-1	2-3	7	2	L
17/04	SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga	0-1	1-3	10	2	L

Floridsdorfer AC

LWDWLWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria 2. Liga	2-0	2-0	4	3	W
22/08	Rapid Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
15/08	SKU Amstetten Austria 2. Liga	2-1	2-2	2	5	D
08/08	Sturm Graz II Austria 2. Liga	2-2	2-4	5	2	L
31/07	St Polten Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
14/05	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	9	7	L
02/05	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	2-0	5-0	3	2	W
24/04	St Polten Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
17/04	SKU Amstetten Austria 2. Liga	3-0	5-0	2	4	W
11/04	FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-3	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SW Bregenz vs Floridsdorfer AC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Floridsdorfer AC win (37%). Probabilities: SW Bregenz 36%, draw 28%, Floridsdorfer AC 37%.

How many goals are expected in SW Bregenz vs Floridsdorfer AC?

The model expects 2.69 goals (SW Bregenz 1.33 · Floridsdorfer AC 1.36), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SW Bregenz vs Floridsdorfer AC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.