Football · Austria 2. Liga · 30/10, 18:30

Prediction: SV Austria Salzburg vs SKU Amstetten

Team pages: SV Austria Salzburg · SKU Amstetten

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

SV Austria Salzburg1.38

SKU Amstetten1.75

1X2

29% 25% 45%

SV Austria Salzburg Draw SKU Amstetten

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Austria Salzburg 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWLDLWWL

SKU Amstetten 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWDDLWWDDW

Head-to-head

SV Austria Salzburg 1–1–0 SKU Amstetten (2 last)

SKU Amstetten0-2SV Austria Salzburg
SV Austria Salzburg2-2SKU Amstetten

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Austria Salzburg 1508 · SKU Amstetten 1522

	SV Austria Salzburg	Draw	SKU Amstetten
Our model	29%	25%	45%
Market	29%	25%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Austria Salzburg	SKU Amstetten
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.4	1.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.5	4.2 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.3	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.60

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.15
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.62
2	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.12 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10% Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:13 +2’	3.10	3.60	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:12 +3’	3.15	3.62	2.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Austria Salzburg 1–1–0 SKU Amstetten

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/03/26 Austria 2. Liga	SKU Amstetten	0-2 HT 0-1	SV Austria Salzburg
30/08/25 Austria 2. Liga	SV Austria Salzburg	2-2 HT 2-2	SKU Amstetten

Standings · Austria 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Blau Weiss Linz	10	8	1	1	26	6	25
2	First Vienna FC 1894	10	8	1	1	21	9	25
3	FK Austria Vienna II	10	6	1	3	17	13	19
4	Admira Wacker	10	6	0	4	13	10	18
5	SKU Amstetten	10	4	5	1	18	14	17
6	SV Austria Salzburg	10	5	1	4	17	14	16
7	FC Wacker Innsbruck	10	4	2	4	12	11	14
8	FC Liefering	10	4	2	4	20	22	14
9	Floridsdorfer AC	10	4	1	5	14	16	13
10	ASK Voitsberg	10	3	3	4	19	19	12
11	SW Bregenz	10	3	3	4	13	15	12
12	St Polten	10	3	2	5	8	10	11
13	Sturm Graz II	10	2	2	6	16	24	8
14	Hertha Wels	10	2	2	6	13	25	8
15	SV Kapfenberg	10	2	1	7	12	19	7
16	Rapid Vienna II	10	2	1	7	10	22	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Austria Salzburg	SKU Amstetten
FC Blau Weiss Linz	0-1 L	1-1 D
Floridsdorfer AC	2-1 W	2-2 D
ASK Voitsberg	1-2 L	1-1 D
SV Kapfenberg	3-2 W	4-3 W
FK Austria Vienna II	1-3 L	4-2 W
First Vienna FC 1894	4-1 W	0-1 L
Hertha Wels	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 4 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Austria Salzburg

WWLWLDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	0	L
16/10	FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
10/10	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	0-0	2-1	8	10	W
19/09	ASK Voitsberg Austria 2. Liga	1-1	1-2	5	2	L
12/09	Sturm Graz II Austria 2. Liga	1-1	3-3	3	10	D
28/08	St Polten Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	11	6	L
21/08	SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga	2-1	3-2	5	7	W
15/08	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-3	1-3	4	7	L
08/08	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	1-1	4-1	7	7	W
02/08	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	4	7	W

SKU Amstetten

DWDDLWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Rapid Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	2-0	3-2	4	6	W
17/10	SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
09/10	FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	4	1	D
18/09	SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga	2-1	4-3	10	2	W
11/09	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	2-1	4-2	12	2	W
28/08	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
21/08	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	7	4	D
15/08	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	1-2	2-2	4	5	D
09/08	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
31/07	ASK Voitsberg Austria 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	9	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Austria Salzburg vs SKU Amstetten?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SKU Amstetten win (45%). Probabilities: SV Austria Salzburg 29%, draw 25%, SKU Amstetten 45%.

How many goals are expected in SV Austria Salzburg vs SKU Amstetten?

The model expects 3.13 goals (SV Austria Salzburg 1.38 · SKU Amstetten 1.75), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Austria Salzburg vs SKU Amstetten?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.