Football · Austria 2. Liga · 06/11, 20:30

Prediction: Admira Wacker vs St Polten

Team pages: Admira Wacker · St Polten

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.3Total

Admira Wacker1.18

St Polten1.12

1X2

37% 28% 34%

Admira Wacker Draw St Polten

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Admira Wacker 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWLWWWL

St Polten 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWLDDW

Head-to-head

Admira Wacker 3–3–0 St Polten (6 last)

St Polten0-0Admira Wacker
St Polten0-0Admira Wacker
Admira Wacker2-1St Polten
Admira Wacker1-1St Polten
St Polten0-1Admira Wacker
St Polten0-3Admira Wacker

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Admira Wacker 1505 · St Polten 1483

	Admira Wacker	Draw	St Polten
Our model	36%	31%	33%
Market	39%	26%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Admira Wacker: 3-3-0.
High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Admira Wacker	St Polten
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.3	3.1 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.50

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.40▲	Pinn 2.83 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.73
2	2.55 → 2.45▼	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:51 +17’	2.35	3.50	2.55
15:53 +17’	2.40▲	3.50	2.45▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:02 +7’	2.83	3.73	2.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Admira Wacker 3–3–0 St Polten

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/07/26 Club Friendly List	St Polten	0-0 HT 0-0	Admira Wacker
02/05/26 Austria 2. Liga	St Polten	0-0 HT 0-0	Admira Wacker
07/11/25 Austria 2. Liga	Admira Wacker	2-1 HT 1-1	St Polten
28/03/25 Austria 2. Liga	Admira Wacker	1-1 HT 1-1	St Polten
01/10/24 Austria 2. Liga	St Polten	0-1 HT 0-0	Admira Wacker
12/04/24 Austria 2. Liga	St Polten	0-3 HT 0-1	Admira Wacker

Standings · Austria 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Blau Weiss Linz	11	9	1	1	32	6	28
2	First Vienna FC 1894	11	8	1	2	21	15	25
3	FK Austria Vienna II	11	7	1	3	19	14	22
4	SV Austria Salzburg	11	6	1	4	20	14	19
5	Admira Wacker	11	6	0	5	13	11	18
6	SKU Amstetten	11	4	5	2	18	17	17
7	FC Liefering	11	5	2	4	22	23	17
8	SW Bregenz	11	4	3	4	14	15	15
9	Floridsdorfer AC	11	4	2	5	16	18	14
10	FC Wacker Innsbruck	11	4	2	5	13	13	14
11	St Polten	11	4	2	5	10	11	14
12	ASK Voitsberg	11	3	3	5	19	21	12
13	Sturm Graz II	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
14	SV Kapfenberg	11	2	2	7	14	21	8
15	Hertha Wels	11	2	2	7	14	27	8
16	Rapid Vienna II	11	2	1	8	11	24	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Admira Wacker	St Polten
SW Bregenz	0-1 L	2-1 W
FC Wacker Innsbruck	1-0 W	0-1 L
FC Blau Weiss Linz	0-3 L	0-1 L
SV Kapfenberg	1-0 W	1-1 D
Hertha Wels	3-1 W	2-1 W
First Vienna FC 1894	0-1 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Admira Wacker (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Admira Wacker

LWLWWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
24/10	FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
17/10	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	7	1	W
11/10	ASK Voitsberg Austria 2. Liga	2-2	3-2	6	4	W
18/09	FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-3	6	5	L
11/09	SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-0	11	1	W
28/08	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	2-0	3-1	3	4	W
21/08	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	8	2	L
15/08	Sturm Graz II Austria 2. Liga	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
09/08	SKU Amstetten Austria 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	6	2	L

St Polten

LLLWWWLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Hertha Wels Austria 2. Liga	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
23/10	SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga	0-1	1-1	11	3	D
16/10	Rapid Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-0	16	3	D
09/10	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	1-1	1-3	6	7	L
19/09	SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga	0-1	2-1	4	8	W
13/09	FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga	1-0	3-1	9	4	W
28/08	SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	6	W
21/08	FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
14/08	FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria 2. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
07/08	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	7	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Admira Wacker vs St Polten?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Admira Wacker win (37%). Probabilities: Admira Wacker 37%, draw 28%, St Polten 34%.

How many goals are expected in Admira Wacker vs St Polten?

The model expects 2.3 goals (Admira Wacker 1.18 · St Polten 1.12), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Admira Wacker vs St Polten?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.