Football · Austria 2. Liga · 07/11, 15:30

Prediction: Hertha Wels vs Sturm Graz II

Team pages: Hertha Wels · Sturm Graz II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.45Total

Hertha Wels2.01

Sturm Graz II1.44

1X2

50% 23% 27%

Hertha Wels Draw Sturm Graz II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Hertha Wels 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLWDLL

Sturm Graz II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWDDLLLW

Head-to-head

Hertha Wels 4–1–1 Sturm Graz II (6 last)

Hertha Wels2-0Sturm Graz II
Sturm Graz II0-3Hertha Wels
Sturm Graz II3-0Hertha Wels
Hertha Wels1-1Sturm Graz II
Sturm Graz II0-1Hertha Wels
Hertha Wels5-2Sturm Graz II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hertha Wels: 4-1-1.
High corners: 13 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hertha Wels	Sturm Graz II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.5	1.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.2	0.8 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 6.4	3.3 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.77

Under 32.03

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:27

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.19 → 2.19	Pinn 2.19
X	3.94 → 3.94	Pinn 3.94
2	2.85 → 2.85	Pinn 2.85

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.1%

Time*	1	X	2
23:23 +64’	2.19	3.94	2.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hertha Wels 4–1–1 Sturm Graz II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Austria 2. Liga	Hertha Wels	2-0 HT 2-0	Sturm Graz II
22/11/25 Austria 2. Liga	Sturm Graz II	0-3 HT 0-2	Hertha Wels
03/06/22 Austria Regionalliga Mitte	Sturm Graz II	3-0 HT 0-0	Hertha Wels
30/10/21 Austria Regionalliga Mitte	Hertha Wels	1-1 HT 1-0	Sturm Graz II
26/10/20 Austria Regionalliga Mitte	Sturm Graz II	0-1 HT 0-0	Hertha Wels
22/10/19 Austria Regionalliga Mitte	Hertha Wels	5-2 HT 2-0	Sturm Graz II

Standings · Austria 2. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Blau Weiss Linz	11	9	1	1	32	6	28
2	First Vienna FC 1894	11	8	1	2	21	15	25
3	FK Austria Vienna II	11	7	1	3	19	14	22
4	SV Austria Salzburg	11	6	1	4	20	14	19
5	Admira Wacker	11	6	0	5	13	11	18
6	SKU Amstetten	11	4	5	2	18	17	17
7	FC Liefering	11	5	2	4	22	23	17
8	SW Bregenz	11	4	3	4	14	15	15
9	Floridsdorfer AC	11	4	2	5	16	18	14
10	FC Wacker Innsbruck	11	4	2	5	13	13	14
11	St Polten	11	4	2	5	10	11	14
12	ASK Voitsberg	11	3	3	5	19	21	12
13	Sturm Graz II	11	3	2	6	18	24	11
14	SV Kapfenberg	11	2	2	7	14	21	8
15	Hertha Wels	11	2	2	7	14	27	8
16	Rapid Vienna II	11	2	1	8	11	24	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hertha Wels	Sturm Graz II
ASK Voitsberg	2-6 L	2-0 W
FK Austria Vienna II	2-2 D	0-1 L
SW Bregenz	1-0 W	1-3 L
Admira Wacker	1-3 L	0-2 L
Rapid Vienna II	1-2 L	5-2 W
FC Liefering	3-2 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Hertha Wels (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hertha Wels

WLDLLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	St Polten Austria 2. Liga	0-2	1-2	5	3	L
23/10	ASK Voitsberg Austria 2. Liga	1-4	2-6	5	3	L
16/10	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-2	2-2	10	5	D
10/10	SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
18/09	First Vienna FC 1894 Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-3	7	4	L
12/09	FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria 2. Liga	1-0	1-4	7	4	L
28/08	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	0-2	1-3	6	4	L
21/08	SKU Amstetten Austria 2. Liga	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
14/08	Rapid Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-1	1-2	7	3	L
07/08	FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga	1-1	3-2	10	6	W

Sturm Graz II

WLLWDDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	ASK Voitsberg Austria 2. Liga	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
23/10	FK Austria Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-1	11	6	L
18/10	SV Kapfenberg Austria 2. Liga	0-2	0-2	14	3	L
10/10	FC Liefering Austria 2. Liga	1-2	1-3	8	2	L
19/09	FC Wacker Innsbruck Austria 2. Liga	1-2	2-2	3	6	D
12/09	SV Austria Salzburg Austria 2. Liga	1-1	3-3	6	10	D
30/08	Rapid Vienna II Austria 2. Liga	2-1	5-2	7	6	W
22/08	SW Bregenz Austria 2. Liga	1-2	1-3	0	4	L
15/08	Admira Wacker Austria 2. Liga	0-1	0-2	9	5	L
08/08	Floridsdorfer AC Austria 2. Liga	2-2	4-2	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hertha Wels vs Sturm Graz II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hertha Wels win (50%). Probabilities: Hertha Wels 50%, draw 23%, Sturm Graz II 27%.

How many goals are expected in Hertha Wels vs Sturm Graz II?

The model expects 3.45 goals (Hertha Wels 2.01 · Sturm Graz II 1.44), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hertha Wels vs Sturm Graz II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.