Football · Romania Liga I · 24/08, 17:30

Prediction: FC Botosani vs FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc

Team pages: FC Botosani · FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

FC Botosani1.71

FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc0.87

1X2

57% 25% 18%

FC Botosani Draw FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Botosani 0-7-3 (W-D-L)

DDDLDDDLDL

FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDWLWLLLLD

Head-to-head

FC Botosani 1–2 FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc (3 last)

FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc2-0FC Botosani
FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc1-0FC Botosani
FC Botosani3-1FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Botosani 1496 · FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc 1453

	FC Botosani	Draw	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
Our model	56%	26%	18%
Market	57%	25%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Botosani (rating 1496 vs 1453).
H2H favours FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Botosani	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.6	0.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	2 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.3	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.70

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Pinn 1.62
X	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 3.97 ★
2	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.04

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.9% Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:38 +16’	1.61	3.70	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:40	1.63	3.87	5.12
08:59 +1’	1.65▲	3.82▼	5.03▼
23:25 +1’	1.63▼	3.96▲	5.03
21:37 +5’	1.63	3.94▼	5.04▲
07:18 +1’	1.62▼	3.97▲	5.04

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Botosani 1–0–2 FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Romania Liga I	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Botosani
18/01/26 Romania Liga I	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Botosani
23/08/25 Romania Liga I	FC Botosani	3-1 HT 1-0	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc

Standings · Romania Liga I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dinamo Bucharest	6	4	1	1	13	4	13
2	FCSB	5	3	2	0	9	4	11
3	Rapid Bucuresti	6	3	2	1	7	3	11
4	FC Arges Pitesti	5	3	1	1	4	3	10
5	CS Corvinul Hunedoara	6	2	3	1	7	3	9
6	Universitatea Cluj	5	3	0	2	7	6	9
7	Petrolul Ploiesti	6	3	0	3	4	8	9
8	Farul Constanta	5	2	2	1	9	7	8
9	CS U Craiova	5	2	1	2	10	7	7
10	Otelul Galati	5	1	3	1	6	6	6
11	ACS Sepsi	5	1	3	1	2	2	6
12	FC Voluntari	5	1	1	3	4	13	4
13	CFR Cluj	4	1	0	3	7	8	3
14	FC Botosani	5	0	3	2	6	8	3
15	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna	6	0	3	3	3	9	3
16	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	5	0	1	4	2	9	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Botosani	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc
FCSB	2-3 L	0-2 L
CS Corvinul Hunedoara	0-0 D	0-3 L
Farul Constanta	1-1 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Botosani (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Botosani

DDDLDDDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/08	FCSB Romania Liga I	1-1	2-3	5	6	L
10/08	CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga I	0-0	0-0	10	7	D
03/08	Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga I	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
27/07	Rapid Bucuresti Romania Liga I	0-1	1-1	5	12	D
17/07	FC Voluntari Romania Liga I	1-1	2-2	1	0	D
24/05	FCSB Romania Liga I	1-1	3-3	5	7	D
16/05	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Romania Liga I	0-0	0-2	7	6	L
10/05	Petrolul Ploiesti Romania Liga I	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
02/05	Farul Constanta Romania Liga I	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
25/04	Otelul Galati Romania Liga I	0-0	1-1	5	2	D

FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc

WDWLWLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	ACS Sepsi Romania Liga I	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
08/08	Farul Constanta Romania Liga I	1-3	2-3	3	6	L
31/07	FC Arges Pitesti Romania Liga I	0-0	0-1	2	7	L
26/07	FCSB Romania Liga I	0-2	0-2	3	5	L
20/07	CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga I	0-0	0-3	4	0	L
16/05	FC Botosani Romania Liga I	0-0	2-0	2	6	W
08/05	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna Romania Liga I	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
01/05	FCSB Romania Liga I	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
24/04	AFC Hermannstadt Romania Liga I	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
18/04	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga I	2-1	3-2	7	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Botosani vs FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Botosani win (57%). Probabilities: FC Botosani 57%, draw 25%, FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc 18%.

How many goals are expected in FC Botosani vs FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc?

The model expects 2.58 goals (FC Botosani 1.71 · FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.87), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Botosani vs FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.