Football · Romania Liga I · 31/08, 19:30

Prediction: Rapid Bucuresti vs CS U Craiova

Team pages: Rapid Bucuresti · CS U Craiova

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.14Total

Rapid Bucuresti0.99

CS U Craiova1.16

1X2

30% 30% 39%

Rapid Bucuresti Draw CS U Craiova

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Rapid Bucuresti 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLDDWDWDLW

CS U Craiova 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDWLWLDW

Head-to-head

Rapid Bucuresti 1–3–2 CS U Craiova (6 last)

Rapid Bucuresti0-0CS U Craiova
CS U Craiova1-0Rapid Bucuresti
Rapid Bucuresti1-1CS U Craiova
CS U Craiova2-2Rapid Bucuresti
CS U Craiova1-2Rapid Bucuresti
Rapid Bucuresti1-2CS U Craiova

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rapid Bucuresti 1510 · CS U Craiova 1556

	Rapid Bucuresti	Draw	CS U Craiova
Our model	30%	32%	38%
Market	31%	29%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS U Craiova (rating 1510 vs 1556).
H2H favours CS U Craiova: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rapid Bucuresti	CS U Craiova
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.8	2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6.6	1.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.2	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.10

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.57 ★
2	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.38

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:52 +4’	2.88	3.10	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:20 +1’	2.73	3.49	2.45
04:24	2.69▼	3.49	2.49▲
09:22 +1’	2.81▲	3.58▲	2.33▼
04:54 +1’	2.76▼	3.57▼	2.38▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rapid Bucuresti 1–3–2 CS U Craiova

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/05/26 Romania Liga I	Rapid Bucuresti	0-0 HT 0-0	CS U Craiova
19/04/26 Romania Liga I	CS U Craiova	1-0 HT 0-0	Rapid Bucuresti
08/03/26 Romania Liga I	Rapid Bucuresti	1-1 HT 0-0	CS U Craiova
02/11/25 Romania Liga I	CS U Craiova	2-2 HT 1-1	Rapid Bucuresti
02/05/25 Romania Liga I	CS U Craiova	1-2 HT 0-0	Rapid Bucuresti
29/03/25 Romania Liga I	Rapid Bucuresti	1-2 HT 0-1	CS U Craiova

Standings · Romania Liga I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Dinamo Bucharest	6	4	1	1	13	4	13
2	FCSB	6	3	2	1	9	5	11
3	Rapid Bucuresti	6	3	2	1	7	3	11
4	CS U Craiova	6	3	1	2	13	8	10
5	FC Arges Pitesti	6	3	1	2	4	4	10
6	CS Corvinul Hunedoara	6	2	3	1	7	3	9
7	Farul Constanta	6	2	3	1	10	8	9
8	Otelul Galati	6	2	3	1	7	6	9
8	Universitatea Cluj	5	3	0	2	7	6	9
10	Petrolul Ploiesti	6	3	0	3	4	8	9
11	ACS Sepsi	6	1	4	1	3	3	7
12	CFR Cluj	5	2	0	3	8	8	6
13	FC Botosani	6	1	3	2	7	8	6
14	FC Voluntari	6	1	1	4	5	16	4
15	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna	6	0	3	3	3	9	3
16	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	6	0	1	5	2	10	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rapid Bucuresti	CS U Craiova
Petrolul Ploiesti	2-0 W	4-0 W
Dinamo Bucharest	0-1 L	1-5 L
ACS UTA Batrana Doamna	0-0 D	4-0 W
CFR Cluj	3-1 W	0-0 D
FC Arges Pitesti	2-2 D	0-1 L
Universitatea Cluj	0-1 L	5-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rapid Bucuresti

LLDDWDWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Petrolul Ploiesti Romania Liga I	0-0	2-0	2	3	W
15/08	Dinamo Bucharest Romania Liga I	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
07/08	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna Romania Liga I	0-0	0-0	8	7	D
02/08	CFR Cluj Romania Liga I	3-0	3-1	8	3	W
27/07	FC Botosani Romania Liga I	1-0	1-1	4	12	D
20/07	ACS Sepsi Romania Liga I	0-0	1-0	12	5	W
25/05	CS U Craiova Romania Liga I	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
15/05	FC Arges Pitesti Romania Liga I	1-0	2-2	7	9	D
09/05	Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga I	0-1	0-1	10	3	L
04/05	CFR Cluj Romania Liga I	0-2	1-2	5	2	L

CS U Craiova

WDWDWLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	FC Voluntari Romania Liga I	1-0	3-1	8	4	W
16/08	Otelul Galati Romania Liga I	0-0	1-1	1	8	D
09/08	FC Arges Pitesti Romania Liga I	0-1	0-1	12	6	L
01/08	Petrolul Ploiesti Romania Liga I	2-0	4-0	4	3	W
25/07	Dinamo Bucharest Romania Liga I	0-2	1-5	1	4	L
18/07	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna Romania Liga I	0-0	4-0	4	4	W
25/05	Rapid Bucuresti Romania Liga I	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
17/05	Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga I	2-0	5-0	5	9	W
08/05	CFR Cluj Romania Liga I	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
03/05	Dinamo Bucharest Romania Liga I	0-0	2-1	4	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rapid Bucuresti vs CS U Craiova?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CS U Craiova win (39%). Probabilities: Rapid Bucuresti 30%, draw 30%, CS U Craiova 39%.

How many goals are expected in Rapid Bucuresti vs CS U Craiova?

The model expects 2.14 goals (Rapid Bucuresti 0.99 · CS U Craiova 1.16), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Rapid Bucuresti vs CS U Craiova?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.