Football · Poland II Liga · 25/07, 19:00

Prediction: Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Sokol Kleczew

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Zawisza Bydgoszcz1.9

Sokol Kleczew1.16

1X2

54% 24% 22%

Zawisza Bydgoszcz Draw Sokol Kleczew

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Zawisza Bydgoszcz 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWWW

Sokol Kleczew 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLWLWW

Head-to-head

Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1–5 Sokol Kleczew (6 last)

Zawisza Bydgoszcz0-1Sokol Kleczew
Sokol Kleczew1-0Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Zawisza Bydgoszcz1-2Sokol Kleczew

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1593 · Sokol Kleczew 1469

	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	Draw	Sokol Kleczew
Our model	54%	24%	22%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zawisza Bydgoszcz (rating 1593 vs 1469).
H2H favours Sokol Kleczew: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	Sokol Kleczew
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.6	1.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.8	1.6 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.80

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:13 +6’	1.67	3.80	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1–0–5 Sokol Kleczew

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/03/25 Poland III Liga	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0-1 HT 0-1	Sokol Kleczew
25/08/24 Poland III Liga	Sokol Kleczew	1-0 HT 0-0	Zawisza Bydgoszcz
10/05/24 Poland III Liga	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1-2 HT 0-1	Sokol Kleczew
14/10/23 Poland III Liga	Sokol Kleczew	4-1 HT 1-0	Zawisza Bydgoszcz
17/06/23 Poland III Liga	Sokol Kleczew	4-1 HT 1-0	Zawisza Bydgoszcz
19/11/22 Poland III Liga	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	4-0 HT 1-0	Sokol Kleczew

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Avia Swidnik	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chojniczanka Chojnice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Resovia Rzeszow	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	GKS Tychy 71	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gornik Leczna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hutnik Krakow	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lechia Zielona Góra	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OKS Swit Skolwin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Legia Warsaw II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Olimpia Grudziadz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Podhale Nowy Targ	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slask Wroclaw II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sokol Kleczew	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stal Stalowa Wola	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Znicz Pruszków	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Zawisza Bydgoszcz

WWLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	LKS Lodz II Europe Friendlies	2-0	2-1	8	1	W
08/07	Polonia Sroda Wlkp Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-0	8	0	W
30/05	Cartusia Kartuzy Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	7	0	W
23/05	KTS-K Luzino Poland III Liga	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
17/05	Lech Poznan II Poland III Liga	2-2	4-2	6	8	W
13/05	Wda Swiecie Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
09/05	Elana Torun Poland III Liga	2-0	3-0	2	3	W
01/05	Flota Swinoujscie Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	14	1	L
25/04	Blekitni Stargard Poland III Liga	3-1	3-2	3	2	W
18/04	Polonia Sroda Wlkp Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	5	4	W

Sokol Kleczew

WLLLLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Unia Swarzedz Europe Friendlies	3-0	7-1	8	1	W
09/06	Gornik Polkowice Poland League II Play-Offs	0-0	2-1	6	6	W
06/06	Gornik Polkowice Poland League II Play-Offs	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
30/05	LKS Lodz II Poland II Liga	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
23/05	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-1	2-5	3	5	L
16/05	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland II Liga	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
08/05	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	0-1	0-3	4	4	L
01/05	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
26/04	Unia Skierniewice Poland II Liga	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
18/04	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Sokol Kleczew?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zawisza Bydgoszcz win (54%). Probabilities: Zawisza Bydgoszcz 54%, draw 24%, Sokol Kleczew 22%.

How many goals are expected in Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Sokol Kleczew?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1.9 · Sokol Kleczew 1.16), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Zawisza Bydgoszcz vs Sokol Kleczew?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.