Football · Poland II Liga · 14/10, 12:00

Prediction: Slask Wroclaw II vs Legia Warsaw II

Team pages: Slask Wroclaw II · Legia Warsaw II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.61Total

Slask Wroclaw II1.81

Legia Warsaw II1.81

1X2

38% 25% 38%

Slask Wroclaw II Draw Legia Warsaw II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Slask Wroclaw II 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

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Legia Warsaw II 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Slask Wroclaw II 1480 · Legia Warsaw II 1491

	Slask Wroclaw II	Draw	Legia Warsaw II
Our model	38%	24%	38%
Market	37%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slask Wroclaw II	Legia Warsaw II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2	2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.1	2.7 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.50

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Pinn 2.54 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.40 → 2.40	Pinn 2.48

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:16 +16’	2.40	3.50	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:27 +472’	2.54	3.39	2.48

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	10	7	2	1	23	12	23
2	Gornik Leczna	10	6	2	2	21	10	20
3	GKS Tychy 71	10	5	5	0	14	6	20
4	Podhale Nowy Targ	11	5	3	3	22	20	18
5	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	11	5	2	4	16	12	17
6	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	10	4	4	2	17	13	16
7	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	11	4	4	3	15	12	16
8	Hutnik Krakow	10	4	3	3	16	13	15
9	Lechia Zielona Góra	11	4	3	4	20	18	15
10	Chojniczanka Chojnice	11	4	3	4	19	19	15
11	Olimpia Grudziadz	10	4	3	3	13	16	15
12	Avia Swidnik	11	4	2	5	14	17	14
13	Stal Stalowa Wola	11	4	1	6	19	23	13
14	Legia Warsaw II	10	4	0	6	20	17	12
15	Slask Wroclaw II	10	3	0	7	17	20	9
16	Sokol Kleczew	10	1	5	4	11	23	8
17	OKS Swit Skolwin	11	2	2	7	11	25	8
18	Resovia Rzeszow	10	0	4	6	7	19	4

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Slask Wroclaw II	Legia Warsaw II
Stal Stalowa Wola	2-3 L	0-2 L
Hutnik Krakow	2-0 W	0-2 L
Znicz Pruszków	2-3 L	1-2 L
Gornik Leczna	2-0 W	1-4 L
Podhale Nowy Targ	1-3 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Slask Wroclaw II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Slask Wroclaw II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	0-1	2-3	3	4	L
20/09	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
13/09	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-2	2-4	3	3	L
06/09	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-1	8	5	L
29/08	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	1-2	2-3	1	2	L
23/08	GKS Tychy 71 Poland II Liga	0-0	0-3	2	2	L
15/08	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-0	1-2	8	8	L
09/08	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	4	7	W
01/08	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	3-0	5-1	3	1	W
25/07	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-2	1-3	2	6	L

Legia Warsaw II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Lechia Zielona Góra Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
19/09	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	1-0	3-0	3	2	W
12/09	Gornik Leczna Poland II Liga	1-0	1-4	2	4	L
06/09	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-1	1-2	6	7	L
29/08	Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland II Liga	0-1	1-4	7	3	L
23/08	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	2-1	6-1	6	2	W
16/08	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	0-2	0-2	6	2	L
09/08	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	1-0	5-0	6	0	W
31/07	Znicz Pruszków Poland II Liga	0-0	1-2	9	3	L
25/07	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	0-0	0-2	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slask Wroclaw II vs Legia Warsaw II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Slask Wroclaw II win (38%). Probabilities: Slask Wroclaw II 38%, draw 25%, Legia Warsaw II 38%.

How many goals are expected in Slask Wroclaw II vs Legia Warsaw II?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Slask Wroclaw II 1.81 · Legia Warsaw II 1.81), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Slask Wroclaw II vs Legia Warsaw II?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.