Football · Poland II Liga · 25/07, 20:00

Prediction: Lechia Zielona Góra vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.46Total

Lechia Zielona Góra1.31

Rekord Bielsko-Biala1.15

1X2

40% 28% 32%

Lechia Zielona Góra Draw Rekord Bielsko-Biala

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Lechia Zielona Góra 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWLLW

Rekord Bielsko-Biala 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWDWLWLLW

Head-to-head

Lechia Zielona Góra 2–2–2 Rekord Bielsko-Biala (6 last)

Rekord Bielsko-Biala1-2Lechia Zielona Góra
Lechia Zielona Góra0-2Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Rekord Bielsko-Biala3-0Lechia Zielona Góra

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lechia Zielona Góra 1561 · Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1515

	Lechia Zielona Góra	Draw	Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Our model	39%	30%	31%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lechia Zielona Góra (rating 1561 vs 1515).
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lechia Zielona Góra	Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.4	3.1 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.3	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.20▼	Bet365 2.20
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.63 → 2.70▲	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:26 +55’	2.25	3.50	2.63
17:18 +1’	2.20▼	3.50	2.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lechia Zielona Góra 2–2–2 Rekord Bielsko-Biala

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
16/03/24 Poland III Liga	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	1-2 HT 1-1	Lechia Zielona Góra
23/08/23 Poland III Liga	Lechia Zielona Góra	0-2 HT 0-0	Rekord Bielsko-Biala
04/03/23 Poland III Liga	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	3-0 HT 1-0	Lechia Zielona Góra
06/08/22 Poland III Liga	Lechia Zielona Góra	3-2 HT 2-1	Rekord Bielsko-Biala
19/03/22 Poland III Liga	Lechia Zielona Góra	1-1 HT 0-1	Rekord Bielsko-Biala
18/08/21 Poland III Liga	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	1-1 HT 1-0	Lechia Zielona Góra

Standings · Poland II Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Avia Swidnik	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chojniczanka Chojnice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Resovia Rzeszow	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	GKS Tychy 71	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gornik Leczna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hutnik Krakow	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lechia Zielona Góra	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OKS Swit Skolwin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Legia Warsaw II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Olimpia Grudziadz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Podhale Nowy Targ	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slask Wroclaw II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sokol Kleczew	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stal Stalowa Wola	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Znicz Pruszków	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Lechia Zielona Góra

DWWWWWWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Warta Poznan Europe Friendlies	2-1	2-1	9	0	W
08/07	Slask Wroclaw Club Friendly List	0-1	0-6	–	–	L
01/07	Chrobry Glogow Europe Friendlies	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
30/05	Gornik Polkowice Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	5	7	W
23/05	Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Poland III Liga	0-0	4-0	4	3	W
16/05	LZS Starowice Dolne Poland III Liga	2-1	5-1	8	3	W
13/05	Polonia Nysa Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	9	3	W
09/05	Pniowek Pawlowice Slaskie Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
01/05	Gornik Zabrze II Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
25/04	Sparta Katowice Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	4	5	D

Rekord Bielsko-Biala

DWWDWLWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/07	Sigma Olomouc B Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
04/07	Polonia Bytom Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-3	5	0	L
30/05	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	0-2	0-2	0	2	L
23/05	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
09/05	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-2	7	2	L
02/05	LKS Lodz II Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	5	1	W
24/04	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	5	7	D
18/04	Resovia Rzeszow Poland II Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
12/04	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland II Liga	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
02/04	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	7	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lechia Zielona Góra vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lechia Zielona Góra win (40%). Probabilities: Lechia Zielona Góra 40%, draw 28%, Rekord Bielsko-Biala 32%.

How many goals are expected in Lechia Zielona Góra vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

The model expects 2.46 goals (Lechia Zielona Góra 1.31 · Rekord Bielsko-Biala 1.15), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Lechia Zielona Góra vs Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.