Football · Poland II Liga · 25/07, 18:00

Prediction: OKS Swit Skolwin vs Gornik Leczna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

OKS Swit Skolwin1.35

Gornik Leczna1.44

1X2

35% 26% 39%

OKS Swit Skolwin Draw Gornik Leczna

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

OKS Swit Skolwin 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDWLLLWL

Gornik Leczna 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WWDLLLLLLL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OKS Swit Skolwin 1435 · Gornik Leczna 1426

	OKS Swit Skolwin	Draw	Gornik Leczna
Our model	34%	28%	38%
Market	36%	24%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	OKS Swit Skolwin	Gornik Leczna
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.4	1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.9	2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.75

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:13 +5’	2.50	3.75	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Avia Swidnik	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chojniczanka Chojnice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Resovia Rzeszow	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	GKS Tychy 71	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gornik Leczna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hutnik Krakow	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lechia Zielona Góra	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OKS Swit Skolwin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Legia Warsaw II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Olimpia Grudziadz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Podhale Nowy Targ	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slask Wroclaw II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sokol Kleczew	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stal Stalowa Wola	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Znicz Pruszków	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

OKS Swit Skolwin

LLLDWLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	Blekitni Stargard Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
08/07	Kluczevia Stargard Club Friendly List	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
25/06	GKS Katowice Club Friendly List	0-2	0-7	–	–	L
30/05	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
23/05	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
17/05	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	0-2	4-3	11	6	W
08/05	LKS Lodz II Poland II Liga	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
01/05	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland II Liga	0-2	0-2	8	3	L
26/04	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	1-1	1-3	3	3	L
19/04	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	1-0	1-4	5	3	L

Gornik Leczna

WWDLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/07	Hetman Zamosc Club Friendly List	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
04/07	Stal Rzeszow Europe Friendlies	2-1	2-4	4	1	L
20/06	Dinamo Bucharest Club Friendly List	0-1	1-2	7	3	L
24/05	LKS Lodz Poland I Liga	1-0	1-3	4	1	L
16/05	Odra Opole Poland I Liga	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
10/05	Polonia Warsaw Poland I Liga	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
01/05	Slask Wroclaw Poland I Liga	0-2	0-4	3	5	L
24/04	Znicz Pruszków Poland I Liga	1-2	2-2	5	2	D
20/04	Miedz Legnica Poland I Liga	1-0	2-0	1	1	W
11/04	Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga	0-0	1-0	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OKS Swit Skolwin vs Gornik Leczna?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gornik Leczna win (39%). Probabilities: OKS Swit Skolwin 35%, draw 26%, Gornik Leczna 39%.

How many goals are expected in OKS Swit Skolwin vs Gornik Leczna?

The model expects 2.78 goals (OKS Swit Skolwin 1.35 · Gornik Leczna 1.44), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in OKS Swit Skolwin vs Gornik Leczna?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.