Football · Poland II Liga · 25/07, 19:10

Prediction: Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Hutnik Krakow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.56Total

Sandecja Nowy Sacz1.59

Hutnik Krakow0.97

1X2

51% 26% 22%

Sandecja Nowy Sacz Draw Hutnik Krakow

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sandecja Nowy Sacz 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Hutnik Krakow 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sandecja Nowy Sacz 3–1–2 Hutnik Krakow (6 last)

Sandecja Nowy Sacz1-0Hutnik Krakow
Hutnik Krakow2-1Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Hutnik Krakow1-1Sandecja Nowy Sacz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1505 · Hutnik Krakow 1524

	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	Draw	Hutnik Krakow
Our model	51%	27%	22%
Market	52%	25%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sandecja Nowy Sacz: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	Hutnik Krakow
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.1	1.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6	3.2 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	5.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.60

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 19:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.91▲	Pinn 2.07
X	3.60 → 3.40▼	Pinn 3.74 ★
2	3.90 → 3.30▼	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:03 +15’	1.73	3.60	3.90
17:17 +1’	1.91▲	3.40▼	3.30▼
18:28 +1’	1.73▼	3.60▲	3.90▲
19:31 +1’	1.91▲	3.40▼	3.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:17 +1’	2.18	3.55	2.69
18:28 +1’	2.07▼	3.74▲	2.94▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandecja Nowy Sacz 3–1–2 Hutnik Krakow

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Poland II Liga	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	1-0 HT 0-0	Hutnik Krakow
23/08/25 Poland II Liga	Hutnik Krakow	2-1 HT 0-0	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
09/07/25 Europe Friendlies	Hutnik Krakow	1-1 HT 0-0	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
21/06/24 Europe Friendlies	Hutnik Krakow	2-3 HT 2-0	Sandecja Nowy Sacz
20/04/24 Poland II Liga	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	0-1 HT 0-1	Hutnik Krakow
07/10/23 Poland II Liga	Hutnik Krakow	1-2 HT 1-0	Sandecja Nowy Sacz

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Avia Swidnik	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chojniczanka Chojnice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Resovia Rzeszow	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	GKS Tychy 71	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gornik Leczna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hutnik Krakow	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lechia Zielona Góra	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OKS Swit Skolwin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Legia Warsaw II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Olimpia Grudziadz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Podhale Nowy Targ	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slask Wroclaw II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sokol Kleczew	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stal Stalowa Wola	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Znicz Pruszków	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	Hutnik Krakow
Olimpia Grudziadz	2-1 W	2-2 D
Zaglebie Sosnowiec	1-0 W	2-0 W
Sokol Kleczew	5-2 W	2-0 W
Warta Poznan	0-0 D	0-1 L
Podhale Nowy Targ	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sandecja Nowy Sacz (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sandecja Nowy Sacz

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Wislok Wisniowa Europe Friendlies	0-4	1-10	6	1	L
11/07	Termalica BB Nieciecza Club Friendly List	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
06/06	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland II Liga	0-1	1-3	3	7	L
02/06	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland League II Play-Offs	0-0	2-1	5	2	W
30/05	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	10	3	W
23/05	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-0	5-2	5	5	W
17/05	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	0-3	1-3	8	5	L
10/05	Warta Poznan Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
03/05	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
25/04	Slask Wroclaw II Poland II Liga	0-0	4-0	8	1	W

Hutnik Krakow

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/05	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	8	6	L
24/05	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	1-2	2-2	1	8	D
17/05	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
10/05	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	13	9	W
03/05	Warta Poznan Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
25/04	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
19/04	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	0-1	4-1	7	3	W
12/04	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
02/04	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
29/03	Unia Skierniewice Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	6	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Hutnik Krakow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sandecja Nowy Sacz win (51%). Probabilities: Sandecja Nowy Sacz 51%, draw 26%, Hutnik Krakow 22%.

How many goals are expected in Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Hutnik Krakow?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Sandecja Nowy Sacz 1.59 · Hutnik Krakow 0.97), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sandecja Nowy Sacz vs Hutnik Krakow?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.