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Football · Poland II Liga · 26/07, 16:00

Prediction: Avia Swidnik vs Olimpia Grudziadz

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.3Total
Avia Swidnik1.43
Olimpia Grudziadz1.87
1X2
28% 25% 47%
Avia Swidnik Draw Olimpia Grudziadz
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Avia Swidnik 7-3-0 (W-D-L)
WDWDWDWWWW
Olimpia Grudziadz 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LDWWDWLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Avia Swidnik 1592 · Olimpia Grudziadz 1548
Avia SwidnikDrawOlimpia Grudziadz
Our model29%24%47%
Market28%26%46%
Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Avia Swidnik (rating 1592 vs 1548).
  • High corners: 12 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Avia SwidnikOlimpia Grudziadz
Goals for / against (FT)2.6 / 1.12.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.81.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 6.93 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.7 / 03.7 / 0

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Znicz Pruszków 110 103
2 Avia Swidnik 000 000
2 Chojniczanka Chojnice 000 000
2 GKS Tychy 71 000 000
2 Gornik Leczna 000 000
2 Hutnik Krakow 000 000
2 Lechia Zielona Góra 000 000
2 OKS Swit Skolwin 000 000
2 Legia Warsaw II 000 000
2 Olimpia Grudziadz 000 000
2 Podhale Nowy Targ 000 000
2 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 000 000
2 Sandecja Nowy Sacz 000 000
2 Slask Wroclaw II 000 000
2 Sokol Kleczew 000 000
2 Stal Stalowa Wola 000 000
2 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 000 000
18 Resovia Rzeszow 101 010

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Avia Swidnik

WDWDWDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 Stal Mielec
Europe Friendlies
 1-3 4-3 62 W
30/05 Czarni Polaniec
Poland III Liga
 2-0 3-2 –– W
23/05 Wisloka Debica
Poland III Liga
 2-0 4-0 72 W
16/05 Korona Kielce II
Poland III Liga
 1-1 5-1 58 W
13/05 Star Starachowice
Poland III Liga
 0-1 1-1 –– D
09/05 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Poland III Liga
 0-0 1-0 25 W
01/05 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
Poland III Liga
 1-1 1-1 104 D
24/04 Wislanie Jaskowice
Poland III Liga
 1-0 2-1 –– W
18/04 Podlasie Biala Podlaska
Poland III Liga
 1-1 1-1 92 D
11/04 Swidniczanka Swidnik
Poland III Liga
 1-1 4-1 93 W

Olimpia Grudziadz

LDWWDWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Arka Gdynia
Europe Friendlies
 4-1 4-2 32 W
04/07 Lechia Gdansk
Europe Friendlies
 3-1 3-1 42 W
30/06 Petrolul Ploiesti
Europe Friendlies
 4-1 4-1 14 W
02/06 Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Poland League II Play-Offs
 0-0 1-2 72 L
30/05 OKS Swit Skolwin
Poland II Liga
 0-0 1-0 85 W
24/05 Hutnik Krakow
Poland II Liga
 2-1 2-2 58 D
17/05 Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Poland II Liga
 3-0 3-1 65 W
09/05 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
Poland II Liga
 0-0 2-0 62 W
03/05 Chojniczanka Chojnice
Poland II Liga
 1-1 2-2 64 D
26/04 Warta Poznan
Poland II Liga
 0-1 2-4 53 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Avia Swidnik vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Olimpia Grudziadz win (47%). Probabilities: Avia Swidnik 28%, draw 25%, Olimpia Grudziadz 47%.

How many goals are expected in Avia Swidnik vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Avia Swidnik 1.43 · Olimpia Grudziadz 1.87), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Avia Swidnik vs Olimpia Grudziadz?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.