Football · Poland II Liga · 26/07, 19:30

Prediction: Chojniczanka Chojnice vs GKS Tychy 71

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

Chojniczanka Chojnice1.75

GKS Tychy 711.68

1X2

39% 26% 36%

Chojniczanka Chojnice Draw GKS Tychy 71

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Chojniczanka Chojnice 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDDDLWWWLW

GKS Tychy 71 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WLLLDDWDDD

Head-to-head

Chojniczanka Chojnice 3–3–0 GKS Tychy 71 (6 last)

GKS Tychy 711-1Chojniczanka Chojnice
Chojniczanka Chojnice2-2GKS Tychy 71
GKS Tychy 711-2Chojniczanka Chojnice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chojniczanka Chojnice 1527 · GKS Tychy 71 1479

	Chojniczanka Chojnice	Draw	GKS Tychy 71
Our model	39%	24%	36%
Market	38%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chojniczanka Chojnice (rating 1527 vs 1479).
H2H favours Chojniczanka Chojnice: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chojniczanka Chojnice	GKS Tychy 71
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.7	1.4 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.1	2.2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.5	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.40

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:51 +8’	2.35	3.40	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chojniczanka Chojnice 3–3–0 GKS Tychy 71

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/11/22 Poland I Liga	GKS Tychy 71	1-1 HT 0-0	Chojniczanka Chojnice
16/07/22 Poland I Liga	Chojniczanka Chojnice	2-2 HT 2-1	GKS Tychy 71
07/06/20 Poland I Liga	GKS Tychy 71	1-2 HT 0-1	Chojniczanka Chojnice
30/08/19 Poland I Liga	Chojniczanka Chojnice	1-1 HT 1-0	GKS Tychy 71
17/05/19 Poland I Liga	Chojniczanka Chojnice	4-1 HT 2-0	GKS Tychy 71
02/11/18 Poland I Liga	GKS Tychy 71	0-1 HT 0-0	Chojniczanka Chojnice

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Znicz Pruszków	1	1	0	1	0	3
2	Avia Swidnik	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Chojniczanka Chojnice	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	GKS Tychy 71	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Gornik Leczna	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Hutnik Krakow	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Lechia Zielona Góra	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	OKS Swit Skolwin	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Legia Warsaw II	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Olimpia Grudziadz	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Podhale Nowy Targ	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Slask Wroclaw II	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Sokol Kleczew	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Stal Stalowa Wola	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Resovia Rzeszow	1	0	1	0	1	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Chojniczanka Chojnice

WDDDLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/07	Olimpia Elblag Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
02/07	Petrolul Ploiesti Europe Friendlies	1-2	1-4	3	2	L
30/05	Rekord Bielsko-Biala Poland II Liga	2-0	2-0	0	2	W
22/05	Unia Skierniewice Poland II Liga	1-1	3-2	9	8	W
16/05	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Poland II Liga	3-0	3-1	8	4	W
09/05	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	0-2	2-3	6	6	L
03/05	Olimpia Grudziadz Poland II Liga	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
25/04	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
18/04	Stal Stalowa Wola Poland II Liga	2-1	3-3	4	4	D
10/04	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	1-1	2-1	4	7	W

GKS Tychy 71

WLLLDDWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Trinec Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	6	1	D
18/07	MSK Povazska Bystrica Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-2	1	0	D
08/07	Sparta Katowice Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-2	5	5	D
04/07	Odra Opole Club Friendly List	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
24/05	Stal Rzeszow Poland I Liga	1-1	3-3	6	2	D
17/05	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Poland I Liga	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
10/05	Ruch Chorzow Poland I Liga	0-3	0-4	9	2	L
03/05	Chrobry Glogow Poland I Liga	1-1	2-3	1	5	L
26/04	Wieczysta Krakow Poland I Liga	0-1	0-2	1	5	L
18/04	LKS Lodz Poland I Liga	1-0	3-2	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chojniczanka Chojnice vs GKS Tychy 71?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chojniczanka Chojnice win (39%). Probabilities: Chojniczanka Chojnice 39%, draw 26%, GKS Tychy 71 36%.

How many goals are expected in Chojniczanka Chojnice vs GKS Tychy 71?

The model expects 3.43 goals (Chojniczanka Chojnice 1.75 · GKS Tychy 71 1.68), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Chojniczanka Chojnice vs GKS Tychy 71?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.