Football · Poland II Liga · 25/07, 11:15

Prediction: Podhale Nowy Targ vs Slask Wroclaw II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Podhale Nowy Targ1.98

Slask Wroclaw II1.02

1X2

59% 23% 18%

Podhale Nowy Targ Draw Slask Wroclaw II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Podhale Nowy Targ 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWDWLDLLWW

Slask Wroclaw II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWLWLL

Head-to-head

Podhale Nowy Targ 1–1 Slask Wroclaw II (2 last)

Podhale Nowy Targ0-2Slask Wroclaw II
Slask Wroclaw II0-1Podhale Nowy Targ

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Podhale Nowy Targ 1527 · Slask Wroclaw II 1498

	Podhale Nowy Targ	Draw	Slask Wroclaw II
Our model	59%	23%	18%
Market	59%	23%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Podhale Nowy Targ	Slask Wroclaw II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.3	1.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.5	1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	80/10/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.4	1.8 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.3	3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.90

2 (+1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Pinn 1.53
X	4.00 → 4.00	Pinn 4.10 ★
2	4.75 → 5.00▲	Pinn 5.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.2% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
16:06 +4’	1.53	4.00	4.75
18:08 +7’	1.53	4.00	5.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:12	1.53	4.11	5.14
14:12 +1’	1.55▲	4.07▼	5.02▼
15:11	1.53▼	4.10▲	5.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Podhale Nowy Targ 1–0–1 Slask Wroclaw II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Poland II Liga	Podhale Nowy Targ	0-2 HT 0-1	Slask Wroclaw II
27/09/25 Poland II Liga	Slask Wroclaw II	0-1 HT 0-0	Podhale Nowy Targ

Standings · Poland II Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Avia Swidnik	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chojniczanka Chojnice	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Resovia Rzeszow	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	GKS Tychy 71	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gornik Leczna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hutnik Krakow	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lechia Zielona Góra	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	OKS Swit Skolwin	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Legia Warsaw II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Olimpia Grudziadz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Podhale Nowy Targ	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rekord Bielsko-Biala	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sandecja Nowy Sacz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slask Wroclaw II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sokol Kleczew	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stal Stalowa Wola	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Znicz Pruszków	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Podhale Nowy Targ	Slask Wroclaw II
Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala	1-2 L	1-2 L
Warta Poznan	2-2 D	1-1 D
Sandecja Nowy Sacz	0-0 D	0-4 L
OKS Swit Skolwin	3-1 W	3-4 L
LKS Lodz II	1-1 D	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Podhale Nowy Targ (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Podhale Nowy Targ

DWDWLDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Zaglebie Sosnowiec Europe Friendlies	1-0	4-1	3	2	W
01/07	Stal Mielec Europe Friendlies	3-0	5-1	6	0	W
27/06	FK Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-2	5	0	L
30/05	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland II Liga	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
23/05	Warta Poznan Poland II Liga	1-0	2-2	5	4	D
17/05	Hutnik Krakow Poland II Liga	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
09/05	Chojniczanka Chojnice Poland II Liga	2-0	3-2	8	6	W
03/05	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-0	9	1	D
26/04	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	1-1	3-1	9	3	W
19/04	LKS Lodz II Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	11	2	D

Slask Wroclaw II

WDWLWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Slavia Prague B Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-2	1	0	L
02/06	Podbeskidzie Bielsko Biala Poland League II Play-Offs	1-0	1-2	6	4	L
23/05	LKS Lodz II Poland II Liga	2-1	4-1	5	2	W
17/05	OKS Swit Skolwin Poland II Liga	2-0	3-4	1	6	L
09/05	KKS 1925 Kalisz Poland II Liga	0-1	3-2	4	4	W
01/05	Sokol Kleczew Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
25/04	Sandecja Nowy Sacz Poland II Liga	0-0	0-4	3	1	L
19/04	Unia Skierniewice Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
15/04	Warta Poznan Poland II Liga	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
11/04	Podhale Nowy Targ Poland II Liga	1-0	2-0	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Slask Wroclaw II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Podhale Nowy Targ win (59%). Probabilities: Podhale Nowy Targ 59%, draw 23%, Slask Wroclaw II 18%.

How many goals are expected in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Slask Wroclaw II?

The model expects 3 goals (Podhale Nowy Targ 1.98 · Slask Wroclaw II 1.02), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Podhale Nowy Targ vs Slask Wroclaw II?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.