Football · Romania Liga I · 02/08, 17:30

Prediction: CS Corvinul Hunedoara vs ACS Sepsi

Team pages: CS Corvinul Hunedoara · ACS Sepsi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.91Total

CS Corvinul Hunedoara1.07

ACS Sepsi0.84

1X2

40% 32% 28%

CS Corvinul Hunedoara Draw ACS Sepsi

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

CS Corvinul Hunedoara 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLDLWLWWL

ACS Sepsi 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWWLDWLW

Head-to-head

CS Corvinul Hunedoara 2–2 ACS Sepsi (4 last)

ACS Sepsi2-1CS Corvinul Hunedoara
CS Corvinul Hunedoara0-1ACS Sepsi
ACS Sepsi0-2CS Corvinul Hunedoara
CS Corvinul Hunedoara1-0ACS Sepsi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CS Corvinul Hunedoara 1496 · ACS Sepsi 1522

	CS Corvinul Hunedoara	Draw	ACS Sepsi
Our model	39%	34%	27%
Market	41%	30%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 1.91 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CS Corvinul Hunedoara	ACS Sepsi
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.8	1.2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.3	1.1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.00

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.11
2	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.96 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 6.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:17 +3’	2.20	3.00	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:23 +2’	2.28	2.98	3.33
16:22 +1’	2.04▼	3.11▲	3.96▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CS Corvinul Hunedoara 2–0–2 ACS Sepsi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Romania Liga 2	ACS Sepsi	2-1 HT 1-0	CS Corvinul Hunedoara
04/04/26 Romania Liga 2	CS Corvinul Hunedoara	0-1 HT 0-0	ACS Sepsi
18/08/25 Romania Liga 2	ACS Sepsi	0-2 HT 0-1	CS Corvinul Hunedoara
31/10/23 Romania Cup	CS Corvinul Hunedoara	1-0 HT 0-0	ACS Sepsi

Standings · Romania Liga I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FCSB	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
2	Otelul Galati	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
3	Rapid Bucuresti	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
4	CFR Cluj	2	1	0	1	6	2	3
5	Dinamo Bucharest	2	1	0	1	5	2	3
6	CS Corvinul Hunedoara	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
6	Farul Constanta	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
8	CS U Craiova	2	1	0	1	5	5	3
9	Universitatea Cluj	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
10	ACS Sepsi	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
10	Petrolul Ploiesti	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
12	FC Arges Pitesti	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
13	FC Botosani	2	0	2	0	3	3	2
14	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna	2	0	1	1	2	6	1
15	FC Voluntari	2	0	1	1	2	7	1
16	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	2	0	0	2	0	5	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CS Corvinul Hunedoara	ACS Sepsi
FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc	3-0 W	2-0 W
FC Bihor Oradea	1-1 D	2-3 L
Chindia Targoviste	0-1 L	1-1 D
FC Voluntari	2-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CS Corvinul Hunedoara (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

CS Corvinul Hunedoara

LWLDLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Farul Constanta Romania Liga I	0-0	0-2	4	5	L
20/07	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Romania Liga I	0-0	3-0	2	0	W
11/07	CSC 1599 Selimbar Club Friendly List	0-0	3-0	10	3	W
02/07	FC Koper Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
01/07	Pyunik Yerevan Club Friendly List	1-0	2-0	4	4	W
24/06	NK Brinje Grosuplje Club Friendly List	0-1	0-1	0	0	L
16/05	FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
09/05	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-1	7	1	L
06/05	FC Voluntari Romania Liga 2	2-0	2-0	4	2	W
02/05	ACS Sepsi Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-2	4	5	L

ACS Sepsi

DWLWWLDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Universitatea Cluj Romania Liga I	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
20/07	Rapid Bucuresti Romania Liga I	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
20/06	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Europe Friendlies	2-0	2-0	1	4	W
16/05	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
12/05	FC Voluntari Romania Liga 2	0-2	0-2	4	5	L
07/05	CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
02/05	CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-1	4	5	W
23/04	FC Bihor Oradea Romania Liga 2	0-2	2-3	3	6	L
18/04	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
15/04	FC Voluntari Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-1	3	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CS Corvinul Hunedoara vs ACS Sepsi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CS Corvinul Hunedoara win (40%). Probabilities: CS Corvinul Hunedoara 40%, draw 32%, ACS Sepsi 28%.

How many goals are expected in CS Corvinul Hunedoara vs ACS Sepsi?

The model expects 1.91 goals (CS Corvinul Hunedoara 1.07 · ACS Sepsi 0.84), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CS Corvinul Hunedoara vs ACS Sepsi?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.