Prediction: Nublense vs O'Higgins
Expected goals: 2.92 (Nublense 1.48 · O'Higgins 1.45). The model gives 36% home, 29% draw, 35% away. Over 2.25 goals (57%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Nublense sits at 5-3-2 (W-D-L), while O'Higgins arrives on a 4-3-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for Nublense and 3 for O'Higgins, with 1 draw.
| Nublense | Draw | O'Higgins | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | 36% | 30% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours O'Higgins: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nublense | O'Higgins | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.2 | 2.4 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nublense 2–1–3 O'Higgins
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Nublense | 0-2 HT 0-2 | O'Higgins |
| 09/11/25 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Nublense |
| 25/05/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Nublense | 0-1 HT 0-0 | O'Higgins |
| 19/10/24 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Nublense |
| 19/05/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Nublense | 2-2 HT 2-0 | O'Higgins |
| 29/07/23 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Nublense |
Standings · Chile Copa de la Liga · Copa de la Liga 2026, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O'Higgins | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Everton de Vina | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 3 | Deportes Limache | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 4 | Palestino | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nublense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Curico Unido Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 01/07 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Rangers de Talca Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
1-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Curico Unido Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 30/05 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
O'Higgins
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Union Espanola Chile Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 03/07 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 26/06 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/06 | Union Espanola Chile Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 19/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 08/06 | Palestino Chile Copa de la Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 27/05 | Millonarios Copa Sudamericana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nublense vs O'Higgins?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nublense win (36%). Probabilities: Nublense 36%, draw 29%, O'Higgins 35%.
How many goals are expected in Nublense vs O'Higgins?
The model expects 2.92 goals (Nublense 1.48 · O'Higgins 1.45), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Nublense vs O'Higgins?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.