Football · Chile Copa de la Liga · 13/07, 02:00
Prediction: O'Higgins vs Nublense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
O'Higgins1.69
Nublense1.14
1X2
O'Higgins
Draw
Nublense
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
O'Higgins
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Nublense
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
O'Higgins
3–1–2
Nublense
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · O'Higgins 1517 · Nublense 1538
| O'Higgins | Draw | Nublense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 26% | 24% |
| Market | 50% | 26% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours O'Higgins: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| O'Higgins | Nublense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4 | 3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.4 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · O'Higgins 3–1–2 Nublense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | Nublense | 2-1 HT 1-1 | O'Higgins |
| 25/04/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Nublense | 0-2 HT 0-2 | O'Higgins |
| 09/11/25 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Nublense |
| 25/05/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Nublense | 0-1 HT 0-0 | O'Higgins |
| 19/10/24 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Nublense |
| 19/05/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Nublense | 2-2 HT 2-0 | O'Higgins |
Standings · Chile Copa de la Liga · Copa de la Liga 2026, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O'Higgins | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Everton de Vina | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 3 | Deportes Limache | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 6 |
| 4 | Palestino | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
O'Higgins
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Nublense Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Union Espanola Chile Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 03/07 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 28/06 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 26/06 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/06 | Union Espanola Chile Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 19/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 08/06 | Palestino Chile Copa de la Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
Nublense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | O'Higgins Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Curico Unido Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 01/07 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Rangers de Talca Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
1-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Curico Unido Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 30/05 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in O'Higgins vs Nublense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a O'Higgins win (49%). Probabilities: O'Higgins 49%, draw 26%, Nublense 25%.
How many goals are expected in O'Higgins vs Nublense?
The model expects 2.83 goals (O'Higgins 1.69 · Nublense 1.14), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in O'Higgins vs Nublense?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.