Football · Montenegro Druga Liga · 25/10, 14:00

Prediction: FK Iskra Danilovgrad vs FK Budva

Team pages: FK Iskra Danilovgrad · FK Budva

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.19Total

FK Iskra Danilovgrad1.33

FK Budva0.85

1X2

48% 28% 24%

FK Iskra Danilovgrad Draw FK Budva

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Iskra Danilovgrad 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLLWLWWD

FK Budva 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

WLDDLLLDDD

Head-to-head

FK Iskra Danilovgrad 1–0 FK Budva (1 last)

FK Budva1-2FK Iskra Danilovgrad

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Iskra Danilovgrad 1485 · FK Budva 1465

	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	Draw	FK Budva
Our model	47%	31%	23%
Market	49%	26%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	FK Budva
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/43/29%	14/43/43%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.6	1.9 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.3	5.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.40

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.88

Under 2.251.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:31 +9’	1.83	3.40	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Iskra Danilovgrad 1–0–0 FK Budva

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Budva	1-2 HT 0-1	FK Iskra Danilovgrad

Standings · Montenegro Druga Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	13	7	2	4	25	15	23
2	FK Podgorica	12	6	5	1	22	15	23
3	FK Zeta Golubovci	12	5	4	3	17	14	19
4	FK Lovcen	12	6	1	5	19	18	19
5	FK Kom Podgorica	11	5	3	3	16	12	18
6	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	12	5	2	5	12	11	17
7	FK Rudar Pljevlja	12	4	4	4	17	17	16
8	FK Grbalj Radanovici	12	4	4	4	14	18	16
9	FK Budva	12	2	5	5	14	15	11
10	Berane	12	0	2	10	7	28	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	FK Budva
FK Zeta Golubovci	1-1 D	0-0 D
Berane	5-1 W	1-1 D
FK Rudar Pljevlja	1-0 W	0-0 D
FK Grbalj Radanovici	0-1 L	2-2 D
FK Kom Podgorica	1-0 W	1-1 D
FK Lovcen	0-2 L	1-2 L
FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	0-2 L	0-2 L
FK Podgorica	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	0 W 5 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Iskra Danilovgrad (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Iskra Danilovgrad

LWDLLWLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	FK Zeta Golubovci Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/10	Berane Montenegro Druga Liga	4-1	5-1	8	8	W
06/10	FK Rudar Pljevlja Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
30/09	FK Grbalj Radanovici Montenegro Druga Liga	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
26/09	FK Kom Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
20/09	FK Lovcen Montenegro Druga Liga	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
16/09	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Druga Liga	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	FK Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-1	–	–	D
06/09	FK Budva Montenegro Druga Liga	1-0	2-1	6	9	W
30/08	FK Zeta Golubovci Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	0-1	4	4	L

FK Budva

WLDDLLLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FK Rudar Pljevlja Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
10/10	FK Grbalj Radanovici Montenegro Druga Liga	1-0	2-2	1	2	D
04/10	FK Kom Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
30/09	FK Lovcen Montenegro Druga Liga	1-1	1-2	11	3	L
26/09	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Druga Liga	–	0-2	–	–	L
21/09	FK Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	1-2	1-2	4	8	L
16/09	Berane Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	FK Zeta Golubovci Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
06/09	FK Iskra Danilovgrad Montenegro Druga Liga	0-1	1-2	8	9	L
29/08	FK Rudar Pljevlja Montenegro Druga Liga	–	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Iskra Danilovgrad vs FK Budva?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Iskra Danilovgrad win (48%). Probabilities: FK Iskra Danilovgrad 48%, draw 28%, FK Budva 24%.

How many goals are expected in FK Iskra Danilovgrad vs FK Budva?

The model expects 2.19 goals (FK Iskra Danilovgrad 1.33 · FK Budva 0.85), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Iskra Danilovgrad vs FK Budva?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.