Football · Montenegro Druga Liga · 31/10, 13:00

Prediction: FK Podgorica vs FK Iskra Danilovgrad

Team pages: FK Podgorica · FK Iskra Danilovgrad

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

FK Podgorica1.42

FK Iskra Danilovgrad1.12

1X2

43% 28% 29%

FK Podgorica Draw FK Iskra Danilovgrad

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Podgorica 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DDDWWDWLWD

FK Iskra Danilovgrad 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLWLWWDL

Head-to-head

FK Podgorica 0–4–2 FK Iskra Danilovgrad (6 last)

FK Iskra Danilovgrad1-1FK Podgorica
FK Iskra Danilovgrad0-0FK Podgorica
FK Podgorica0-1FK Iskra Danilovgrad
FK Iskra Danilovgrad0-0FK Podgorica
FK Podgorica0-1FK Iskra Danilovgrad
FK Podgorica1-1FK Iskra Danilovgrad

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Podgorica 1530 · FK Iskra Danilovgrad 1484

	FK Podgorica	Draw	FK Iskra Danilovgrad
Our model	42%	29%	29%
Market	43%	28%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Podgorica (rating 1530 vs 1484).
H2H favours FK Iskra Danilovgrad: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Podgorica	FK Iskra Danilovgrad
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.5	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.7 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	100/0/0%	29/43/29%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.8	2.3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.3	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.20

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 2.10▲	Bet365 2.10
X	3.40 → 3.20▼	Bet365 3.20
2	4.00 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:58 +13’	1.75	3.40	4.00
07:53 +11’	2.10▲	3.20▼	3.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Podgorica 0–4–2 FK Iskra Danilovgrad

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/26 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	1-1	FK Podgorica
26/04/26 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Podgorica
09/03/26 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Podgorica	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Iskra Danilovgrad
26/10/25 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Podgorica
06/09/25 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Podgorica	0-1 HT 0-0	FK Iskra Danilovgrad
10/05/25 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Podgorica	1-1	FK Iskra Danilovgrad

Standings · Montenegro Druga Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Podgorica	13	6	6	1	23	16	24
2	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	13	7	2	4	25	15	23
3	FK Zeta Golubovci	13	6	4	3	22	16	22
4	FK Kom Podgorica	12	6	3	3	18	13	21
5	FK Lovcen	13	6	1	6	20	20	19
6	FK Rudar Pljevlja	13	4	5	4	18	18	17
7	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	13	5	2	6	15	15	17
8	FK Grbalj Radanovici	12	4	4	4	14	18	16
9	FK Budva	13	3	5	5	18	18	14
10	Berane	13	0	2	11	9	33	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Podgorica	FK Iskra Danilovgrad
FK Rudar Pljevlja	1-1 D	1-0 W
FK Grbalj Radanovici	2-1 W	0-1 L
FK Kom Podgorica	2-3 L	1-0 W
FK Lovcen	2-1 W	0-2 L
FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	1-1 D	0-2 L
Berane	3-2 W	5-1 W
FK Budva	2-1 W	3-4 L
FK Zeta Golubovci	3-3 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FK Podgorica (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Podgorica

DDDWWDWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FK Rudar Pljevlja Montenegro Druga Liga	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
17/10	FK Grbalj Radanovici Montenegro Druga Liga	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
11/10	FK Kom Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	–	2-3	–	–	L
06/10	FK Lovcen Montenegro Druga Liga	–	2-1	–	–	W
30/09	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-1	–	–	D
26/09	Berane Montenegro Druga Liga	2-1	3-2	9	5	W
21/09	FK Budva Montenegro Druga Liga	2-1	2-1	4	8	W
17/09	FK Zeta Golubovci Montenegro Druga Liga	3-0	3-3	5	3	D
12/09	FK Iskra Danilovgrad Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-1	–	–	D
06/09	FK Rudar Pljevlja Montenegro Druga Liga	1-0	1-1	3	7	D

FK Iskra Danilovgrad

WDLLWLWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	FK Budva Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	3-4	4	4	L
18/10	FK Zeta Golubovci Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-1	–	–	D
11/10	Berane Montenegro Druga Liga	4-1	5-1	8	8	W
06/10	FK Rudar Pljevlja Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
30/09	FK Grbalj Radanovici Montenegro Druga Liga	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
26/09	FK Kom Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
20/09	FK Lovcen Montenegro Druga Liga	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
16/09	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Druga Liga	–	0-2	–	–	L
12/09	FK Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-1	–	–	D
06/09	FK Budva Montenegro Druga Liga	1-0	2-1	6	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Podgorica vs FK Iskra Danilovgrad?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Podgorica win (43%). Probabilities: FK Podgorica 43%, draw 28%, FK Iskra Danilovgrad 29%.

How many goals are expected in FK Podgorica vs FK Iskra Danilovgrad?

The model expects 2.54 goals (FK Podgorica 1.42 · FK Iskra Danilovgrad 1.12), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Podgorica vs FK Iskra Danilovgrad?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.