Football · Montenegro Druga Liga · 25/10, 13:00

Prediction: FK Kom Podgorica vs FK Lovcen

Team pages: FK Kom Podgorica · FK Lovcen

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.41Total

FK Kom Podgorica1.28

FK Lovcen1.13

1X2

39% 29% 32%

FK Kom Podgorica Draw FK Lovcen

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Kom Podgorica 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDDLWDWW

FK Lovcen 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLWLWLWW

Head-to-head

FK Kom Podgorica 3–2–1 FK Lovcen (6 last)

FK Lovcen0-2FK Kom Podgorica
FK Lovcen1-0FK Kom Podgorica
FK Kom Podgorica0-0FK Lovcen
FK Lovcen0-2FK Kom Podgorica
FK Kom Podgorica1-0FK Lovcen
FK Kom Podgorica0-0FK Lovcen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Kom Podgorica 1536 · FK Lovcen 1495

	FK Kom Podgorica	Draw	FK Lovcen
Our model	39%	30%	31%
Market	40%	28%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Kom Podgorica (rating 1536 vs 1495).
H2H favours FK Kom Podgorica: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Kom Podgorica	FK Lovcen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.9	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.2	1.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/80/0%	50/25/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.4	0.3 / 1.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.25

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
06:02 +3’	2.25	3.25	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Kom Podgorica 3–2–1 FK Lovcen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Lovcen	0-2	FK Kom Podgorica
20/05/26 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Lovcen	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Kom Podgorica
28/03/26 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Kom Podgorica	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Lovcen
23/11/25 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Lovcen	0-2 HT 0-0	FK Kom Podgorica
24/09/25 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Kom Podgorica	1-0 HT 0-0	FK Lovcen
10/05/25 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Kom Podgorica	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Lovcen

Standings · Montenegro Druga Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	13	7	2	4	25	15	23
2	FK Podgorica	12	6	5	1	22	15	23
3	FK Zeta Golubovci	12	5	4	3	17	14	19
4	FK Lovcen	12	6	1	5	19	18	19
5	FK Kom Podgorica	11	5	3	3	16	12	18
6	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	12	5	2	5	12	11	17
7	FK Rudar Pljevlja	12	4	4	4	17	17	16
8	FK Grbalj Radanovici	12	4	4	4	14	18	16
9	FK Budva	12	2	5	5	14	15	11
10	Berane	12	0	2	10	7	28	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Kom Podgorica	FK Lovcen
FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	2-1 W	2-0 W
FK Podgorica	3-2 W	1-2 L
FK Budva	1-1 D	2-1 W
FK Zeta Golubovci	3-1 W	0-1 L
FK Iskra Danilovgrad	0-1 L	2-0 W
FK Rudar Pljevlja	1-1 D	2-4 L
Berane	0-0 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Lovcen (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Kom Podgorica

LWWDDLWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Druga Liga	–	2-1	–	–	W
11/10	FK Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	–	3-2	–	–	W
04/10	FK Budva Montenegro Druga Liga	1-0	1-1	1	6	D
30/09	FK Zeta Golubovci Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	3-1	2	2	W
26/09	FK Iskra Danilovgrad Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
20/09	FK Rudar Pljevlja Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	Berane Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	0-0	12	4	D
05/09	FK Lovcen Montenegro Druga Liga	–	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Druga Liga	–	2-0	–	–	W
23/08	FK Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	1-1	1-2	2	3	L

FK Lovcen

WLDLWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Berane Montenegro Druga Liga	–	3-0	–	–	W
09/10	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Druga Liga	2-0	2-0	1	6	W
06/10	FK Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-2	–	–	L
30/09	FK Budva Montenegro Druga Liga	1-1	2-1	1	3	W
26/09	FK Zeta Golubovci Montenegro Druga Liga	–	0-1	–	–	L
20/09	FK Iskra Danilovgrad Montenegro Druga Liga	1-0	2-0	0	3	W
16/09	FK Rudar Pljevlja Montenegro Druga Liga	1-2	2-4	4	3	L
12/09	FK Grbalj Radanovici Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	FK Kom Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	–	0-2	–	–	L
29/08	Berane Montenegro Druga Liga	–	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Kom Podgorica vs FK Lovcen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Kom Podgorica win (39%). Probabilities: FK Kom Podgorica 39%, draw 29%, FK Lovcen 32%.

How many goals are expected in FK Kom Podgorica vs FK Lovcen?

The model expects 2.41 goals (FK Kom Podgorica 1.28 · FK Lovcen 1.13), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Kom Podgorica vs FK Lovcen?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.