Football · Montenegro Druga Liga · 25/10, 14:00

Prediction: FK Rudar Pljevlja vs FK Podgorica

Team pages: FK Rudar Pljevlja · FK Podgorica

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

FK Rudar Pljevlja1.36

FK Podgorica1.58

1X2

31% 27% 41%

FK Rudar Pljevlja Draw FK Podgorica

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Rudar Pljevlja 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LDDWDLWLWD

FK Podgorica 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DDDDWWDWLW

Head-to-head

FK Rudar Pljevlja 2–3–1 FK Podgorica (6 last)

FK Podgorica1-1FK Rudar Pljevlja
FK Rudar Pljevlja0-0FK Podgorica
FK Podgorica3-2FK Rudar Pljevlja
FK Rudar Pljevlja4-0FK Podgorica
FK Podgorica2-2FK Rudar Pljevlja
FK Rudar Pljevlja3-0FK Podgorica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Rudar Pljevlja 1502 · FK Podgorica 1537

	FK Rudar Pljevlja	Draw	FK Podgorica
Our model	32%	27%	41%
Market	31%	28%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Rudar Pljevlja: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Rudar Pljevlja	FK Podgorica
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	1.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	1.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	100/0/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4	2.8 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	5.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.20

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:25 +15’	2.88	3.20	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Rudar Pljevlja 2–3–1 FK Podgorica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Podgorica	1-1 HT 1-0	FK Rudar Pljevlja
20/05/26 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Rudar Pljevlja	0-0 HT 0-0	FK Podgorica
28/03/26 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Podgorica	3-2 HT 0-0	FK Rudar Pljevlja
10/12/25 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Rudar Pljevlja	4-0 HT 3-0	FK Podgorica
24/09/25 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Podgorica	2-2 HT 1-0	FK Rudar Pljevlja
19/04/25 Montenegro Druga Liga	FK Rudar Pljevlja	3-0	FK Podgorica

Standings · Montenegro Druga Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	13	7	2	4	25	15	23
2	FK Podgorica	12	6	5	1	22	15	23
3	FK Zeta Golubovci	12	5	4	3	17	14	19
4	FK Lovcen	12	6	1	5	19	18	19
5	FK Kom Podgorica	11	5	3	3	16	12	18
6	FK Iskra Danilovgrad	12	5	2	5	12	11	17
7	FK Rudar Pljevlja	12	4	4	4	17	17	16
8	FK Grbalj Radanovici	12	4	4	4	14	18	16
9	FK Budva	12	2	5	5	14	15	11
10	Berane	12	0	2	10	7	28	2

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Rudar Pljevlja	FK Podgorica
FK Budva	0-0 D	2-1 W
FK Zeta Golubovci	3-2 W	3-3 D
FK Iskra Danilovgrad	0-1 L	1-1 D
Berane	4-0 W	3-2 W
FK Grbalj Radanovici	1-3 L	2-1 W
FK Kom Podgorica	1-1 D	2-3 L
FK Lovcen	4-2 W	2-1 W
FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Rudar Pljevlja (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Rudar Pljevlja

LDDWDLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FK Budva Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
11/10	FK Zeta Golubovci Montenegro Druga Liga	–	3-2	–	–	W
06/10	FK Iskra Danilovgrad Montenegro Druga Liga	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
30/09	Berane Montenegro Druga Liga	1-0	4-0	5	2	W
26/09	FK Grbalj Radanovici Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-3	–	–	L
20/09	FK Kom Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-1	–	–	D
16/09	FK Lovcen Montenegro Druga Liga	2-1	4-2	3	3	W
12/09	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Druga Liga	1-2	2-2	3	5	D
06/09	FK Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
29/08	FK Budva Montenegro Druga Liga	–	0-3	–	–	L

FK Podgorica

DDDDWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	FK Grbalj Radanovici Montenegro Druga Liga	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
11/10	FK Kom Podgorica Montenegro Druga Liga	–	2-3	–	–	L
06/10	FK Lovcen Montenegro Druga Liga	–	2-1	–	–	W
30/09	FK Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-1	–	–	D
26/09	Berane Montenegro Druga Liga	2-1	3-2	9	5	W
21/09	FK Budva Montenegro Druga Liga	2-1	2-1	4	8	W
17/09	FK Zeta Golubovci Montenegro Druga Liga	3-0	3-3	5	3	D
12/09	FK Iskra Danilovgrad Montenegro Druga Liga	–	1-1	–	–	D
06/09	FK Rudar Pljevlja Montenegro Druga Liga	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
30/08	FK Grbalj Radanovici Montenegro Druga Liga	–	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Rudar Pljevlja vs FK Podgorica?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Podgorica win (41%). Probabilities: FK Rudar Pljevlja 31%, draw 27%, FK Podgorica 41%.

How many goals are expected in FK Rudar Pljevlja vs FK Podgorica?

The model expects 2.94 goals (FK Rudar Pljevlja 1.36 · FK Podgorica 1.58), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Rudar Pljevlja vs FK Podgorica?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.