Football · Russia Premier League · 14/08, 16:00
Prediction: FC Orenburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow
Team pages: FC Orenburg · Lokomotiv Moscow
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.21Total
FC Orenburg1.12
Lokomotiv Moscow1.09
1X2
FC Orenburg
Draw
Lokomotiv Moscow
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Orenburg
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Lokomotiv Moscow
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Orenburg
0–1–5
Lokomotiv Moscow
(6 last)
- FC Orenburg0-1Lokomotiv Moscow
- Lokomotiv Moscow1-0FC Orenburg
- Lokomotiv Moscow1-1FC Orenburg
- Lokomotiv Moscow2-1FC Orenburg
- FC Orenburg2-4Lokomotiv Moscow
- FC Orenburg2-3Lokomotiv Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lokomotiv Moscow (rating 1450 vs 1500).
- H2H favours Lokomotiv Moscow: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Orenburg | Lokomotiv Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.9 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.3 | – / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Orenburg 0–1–5 Lokomotiv Moscow
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 09/11/25 Russia Premier League | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 03/05/25 Russia Premier League | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 01/10/24 Russia Cup | Lokomotiv Moscow | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FC Orenburg |
| 14/09/24 Russia Premier League | FC Orenburg | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 13/08/24 Russia Cup | FC Orenburg | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Lokomotiv Moscow |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Rostov | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Orenburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 11 | Krylia Sovetov | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Dinamo Moscow | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Akron Tolyatti | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 | Fakel Voronezh | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 | Rodina Moscow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Orenburg | Lokomotiv Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Moscow | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Krylia Sovetov | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Orenburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Spartak Moscow Russia Cup |
0-2 | 1-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 07/07 | Dinamo Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/06 | Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | PFC Sochi Russia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | FC Nizhny Novgorod Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
Lokomotiv Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Akron Tolyatti Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 04/08 | CSKA Moscow Russia Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Dynamo Makhachkala Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/07 | CSKA Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Rodina Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | CSKA Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 01/05 | Dinamo Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Orenburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Orenburg win (35%). Probabilities: FC Orenburg 35%, draw 32%, Lokomotiv Moscow 33%.
How many goals are expected in FC Orenburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
The model expects 2.21 goals (FC Orenburg 1.12 · Lokomotiv Moscow 1.09), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Orenburg vs Lokomotiv Moscow?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.