Football · Russia Premier League · 15/08, 13:00
Prediction: Rodina Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti
Team pages: Rodina Moscow · Akron Tolyatti
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.05Total
Rodina Moscow2.09
Akron Tolyatti0.96
1X2
Rodina Moscow
Draw
Akron Tolyatti
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rodina Moscow
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Akron Tolyatti
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rodina Moscow
1–2–2
Akron Tolyatti
(5 last)
- Akron Tolyatti2-2Rodina Moscow
- Akron Tolyatti0-2Rodina Moscow
- Rodina Moscow0-1Akron Tolyatti
- Rodina Moscow1-3Akron Tolyatti
- Akron Tolyatti2-2Rodina Moscow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rodina Moscow (rating 1544 vs 1430).
- H2H favours Akron Tolyatti: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rodina Moscow | Akron Tolyatti | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 4.8 | – / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.5 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rodina Moscow 1–2–2 Akron Tolyatti
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/25 Club Friendly List | Akron Tolyatti | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Rodina Moscow |
| 03/03/24 Russia Division 1 | Akron Tolyatti | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Rodina Moscow |
| 14/10/23 Russia Division 1 | Rodina Moscow | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Akron Tolyatti |
| 01/04/23 Russia Division 1 | Rodina Moscow | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Akron Tolyatti |
| 11/09/22 Russia Division 1 | Akron Tolyatti | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Rodina Moscow |
Standings · Russia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Zenit St Petersburg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | Baltika Kaliningrad | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Orenburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Rostov | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 | Dinamo Moscow | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Rodina Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | FC Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | Krylia Sovetov | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 15 | Fakel Voronezh | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| 16 | Akron Tolyatti | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rodina Moscow | Akron Tolyatti |
|---|---|---|
| Zenit St Petersburg | 2-1 W | 0-5 L |
| Rubin Kazan | 5-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Rostov | 2-4 L | 0-4 L |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Rotor Volgograd | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Rodina Moscow (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rodina Moscow
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Cup |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 31/07 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Spartak Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Lokomotiv Moscow Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | Arsenal Tula Russia Division 1 |
3-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | FK Chelyabinsk Russia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 02/05 | FK Chernomorets Novorossiysk Russia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | FC Ufa Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 10 | W |
| 22/04 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Akron Tolyatti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Lokomotiv Moscow Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 04/08 | Rostov Russia Cup |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 01/08 | Rubin Kazan Russia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Zenit St Petersburg Russia Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Premier League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Rotor Volgograd Russia Premier League Play-Offs |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Krylia Sovetov Russia Premier League |
0-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Rostov Russia Premier League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Krasnodar Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 27/04 | Baltika Kaliningrad Russia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rodina Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rodina Moscow win (62%). Probabilities: Rodina Moscow 62%, draw 22%, Akron Tolyatti 16%.
How many goals are expected in Rodina Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Rodina Moscow 2.09 · Akron Tolyatti 0.96), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Rodina Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.