Football · Belgium First Division B · 14/08, 20:00

Prediction: Sporting Hasselt vs FCV Dender EH

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.31Total

Sporting Hasselt1.64

FCV Dender EH1.67

1X2

36% 27% 37%

Sporting Hasselt Draw FCV Dender EH

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sporting Hasselt 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWLLWW

FCV Dender EH 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWLLDL

Head-to-head

Sporting Hasselt 1–0 FCV Dender EH (1 last)

Sporting Hasselt2-0FCV Dender EH

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sporting Hasselt 1561 · FCV Dender EH 1439

	Sporting Hasselt	Draw	FCV Dender EH
Our model	37%	25%	38%
Market	35%	28%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sporting Hasselt (rating 1561 vs 1439).
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sporting Hasselt	FCV Dender EH
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.9	1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 7.6	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.20

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
21:09 +20’	2.55	3.20	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting Hasselt 1–0–0 FCV Dender EH

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/02/17 Belgium First Amateur Division	Sporting Hasselt	2-0 HT 1-0	FCV Dender EH

Standings · Belgium First Division B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club Brugge II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FCV Dender EH	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gent II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Genk II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Eupen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lierse Kempenzonen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	KSC Lokeren Temse	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RFC Liege	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Seraing United	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Excelsior Virton	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Francs Borains	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Anderlecht II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sporting Hasselt	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sporting Hasselt

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Belisia Bilzen SV Europe Friendlies	2-0	4-0	7	2	W
01/08	Eendracht Aalst Lede Europe Friendlies	0-1	4-1	7	0	W
19/07	Antwerp Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
11/07	KV Mechelen Club Friendly List	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
26/04	Dessel Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	12	2	W
19/04	KVC Houtvenne Belgium First Amateur Division	0-0	1-0	9	3	W
11/04	OH Leuven II Belgium First Amateur Division	1-1	2-1	7	2	W
28/03	KVV Thes Sport Belgium First Amateur Division	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
22/03	Cercle Brugge Reserves Belgium First Amateur Division	2-0	4-0	4	2	W
14/03	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar Belgium First Amateur Division	1-2	4-2	13	5	W

FCV Dender EH

LWLLLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	SC Lokeren-Temse Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-3	6	0	L
23/05	Lommel Belgium First Division A Play-Offs	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
17/05	Lommel Belgium First Division A Play-Offs	1-0	2-3	7	4	L
09/05	Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A	1-2	1-2	2	6	L
03/05	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	2-1	2-1	4	3	W
24/04	Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
19/04	Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-4	4	4	L
12/04	Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A	0-0	1-2	2	2	L
06/04	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
22/03	Gent Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-3	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting Hasselt vs FCV Dender EH?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FCV Dender EH win (37%). Probabilities: Sporting Hasselt 36%, draw 27%, FCV Dender EH 37%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting Hasselt vs FCV Dender EH?

The model expects 3.31 goals (Sporting Hasselt 1.64 · FCV Dender EH 1.67), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting Hasselt vs FCV Dender EH?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.