Football · Belgium First Division B · 22/08, 20:00
Prediction: Lierse Kempenzonen vs Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
Team pages: Lierse Kempenzonen · Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Lierse Kempenzonen1.23
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen1.47
1X2
Lierse Kempenzonen
Draw
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lierse Kempenzonen
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lierse Kempenzonen
2–1–3
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
(6 last)
- Lierse Kempenzonen1-2Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
- Patro Eisden Maasmechelen2-1Lierse Kempenzonen
- Lierse Kempenzonen1-0Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
- Patro Eisden Maasmechelen3-3Lierse Kempenzonen
- Patro Eisden Maasmechelen3-0Lierse Kempenzonen
- Lierse Kempenzonen2-1Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lierse Kempenzonen 1494 · Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1511
| Lierse Kempenzonen | Draw | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 28% | 41% |
| Market | 30% | 29% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Patro Eisden Maasmechelen: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lierse Kempenzonen | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.5 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.8 | 1.9 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.4 | 5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lierse Kempenzonen 2–1–3 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/26 Belgium First Division B | Lierse Kempenzonen | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen |
| 04/10/25 Belgium First Division B | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Lierse Kempenzonen |
| 11/04/25 Belgium First Division B | Lierse Kempenzonen | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen |
| 03/11/24 Belgium First Division B | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Lierse Kempenzonen |
| 23/02/24 Belgium First Division B | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Lierse Kempenzonen |
| 20/08/23 Belgium First Division B | Lierse Kempenzonen | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen |
Standings · Belgium First Division B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior Virton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | KSC Lokeren Temse | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Eupen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Francs Borains | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Sporting Hasselt | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Club Brugge II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RFC Liege | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | FCV Dender EH | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | Anderlecht II | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Seraing United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Genk II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Lierse Kempenzonen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Gent II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Lierse Kempenzonen | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen |
|---|---|---|
| Francs Borains | 0-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Gent II | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Patro Eisden Maasmechelen (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lierse Kempenzonen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Excelsior Virton Belgium First Division B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | KSC Lokeren Temse Belgium First Division B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | ROC Charleroi Belgium First Division B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Francs Borains Belgium First Division B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 21/03 | RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Division B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 13/03 | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Belgium First Division B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 10/03 | Eupen Belgium First Division B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 07/03 | Club Brugge II Belgium First Division B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 28/02 | Genk II Belgium First Division B |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/02 | Gent II Belgium First Division B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Anderlecht II Belgium First Division B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 27/04 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 17/04 | Francs Borains Belgium First Division B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Seraing United Belgium First Division B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 20/03 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/03 | Lierse Kempenzonen Belgium First Division B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 10/03 | RFC Liege Belgium First Division B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 07/03 | Anderlecht II Belgium First Division B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 27/02 | Gent II Belgium First Division B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 22/02 | SK Beveren Belgium First Division B |
1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lierse Kempenzonen vs Patro Eisden Maasmechelen?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Patro Eisden Maasmechelen win (41%). Probabilities: Lierse Kempenzonen 30%, draw 29%, Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 41%.
How many goals are expected in Lierse Kempenzonen vs Patro Eisden Maasmechelen?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Lierse Kempenzonen 1.23 · Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1.47), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Lierse Kempenzonen vs Patro Eisden Maasmechelen?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.