Football · Belgium First Division B · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: FCV Dender EH vs KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk

Team pages: FCV Dender EH · KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

FCV Dender EH1.47

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk1.32

1X2

40% 27% 33%

FCV Dender EH Draw KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FCV Dender EH 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLLDLL

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWDDLLDWDW

Head-to-head

FCV Dender EH 2–2–2 KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk (6 last)

FCV Dender EH1-2KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
FCV Dender EH0-0KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk1-2FCV Dender EH
FCV Dender EH1-1KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk0-1FCV Dender EH
FCV Dender EH2-3KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FCV Dender EH 1433 · KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk 1550

	FCV Dender EH	Draw	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Our model	39%	28%	33%
Market	40%	27%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk (rating 1433 vs 1550).
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FCV Dender EH	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.8	2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	33/22/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.1	2.4 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.30

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 15:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.55▲	Bet365 2.55
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.70 → 2.38▼	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
21:12 +4’	2.25	3.30	2.70
01:38 +10’	2.45▲	3.30	2.45▼
09:03 +3’	2.60▲	3.30	2.30▼
10:24 +28’	2.38▼	3.30	2.55▲
14:56 +9’	2.55▲	3.30	2.38▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FCV Dender EH 2–2–2 KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/01/26 Club Friendly List	FCV Dender EH	1-2 HT 0-0	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
22/02/25 Belgium First Division A	FCV Dender EH	0-0 HT 0-0	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
31/08/24 Belgium First Division A	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk	1-2 HT 0-2	FCV Dender EH
03/03/24 Belgium First Division B	FCV Dender EH	1-1 HT 0-0	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
29/10/23 Belgium First Division B	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk	0-1 HT 0-0	FCV Dender EH
04/12/22 Belgium First Division B	FCV Dender EH	2-3 HT 0-2	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk

Standings · Belgium First Division B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Excelsior Virton	2	2	0	4	0	6
2	KSC Lokeren Temse	2	2	0	4	1	6
3	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk	1	1	0	4	0	3
4	Eupen	2	1	1	5	3	3
5	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	1	1	0	2	1	3
5	Francs Borains	1	1	0	2	1	3
7	Sporting Hasselt	1	1	0	1	0	3
8	Club Brugge II	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	RFC Liege	1	0	1	1	2	0
10	FCV Dender EH	1	0	1	0	1	0
11	Anderlecht II	2	0	2	1	3	0
12	Seraing United	1	0	1	0	2	0
13	Genk II	1	0	1	1	4	0
14	Lierse Kempenzonen	1	0	1	0	3	0
15	Gent II	1	0	1	0	4	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FCV Dender EH	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk
Lommel	0-0 D	1-3 L
Zulte-Waregem	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FCV Dender EH

WLLLWLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Division B	0-1	0-1	9	4	L
01/08	SC Lokeren-Temse Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-3	6	0	L
23/05	Lommel Belgium First Division A Play-Offs	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
17/05	Lommel Belgium First Division A Play-Offs	1-0	2-3	7	4	L
09/05	Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A	1-2	1-2	2	6	L
03/05	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	2-1	2-1	4	3	W
24/04	Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
19/04	Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-4	4	4	L
12/04	Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A	0-0	1-2	2	2	L
06/04	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	0-0	1-0	3	7	W

KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk

DWDDLLDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Gent II Belgium First Division B	1-0	4-0	1	2	W
01/08	Zulte-Waregem Europe Friendlies	0-2	2-2	7	8	D
22/07	MSV Duisburg Europe Friendlies	4-1	4-2	5	0	W
18/07	Westerlo Europe Friendlies	–	0-0	–	–	D
09/05	Lommel Belgium First Division A Play-Offs	0-0	1-3	11	3	L
02/05	Lommel Belgium First Division A Play-Offs	1-2	1-3	6	7	L
27/04	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Belgium First Division B	1-0	2-2	4	5	D
23/04	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Belgium First Division A Play-Offs	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
17/04	Lommel Belgium First Division B	1-1	2-1	8	3	W
10/04	Eupen Belgium First Division B	1-2	3-3	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FCV Dender EH vs KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FCV Dender EH win (40%). Probabilities: FCV Dender EH 40%, draw 27%, KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk 33%.

How many goals are expected in FCV Dender EH vs KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk?

The model expects 2.79 goals (FCV Dender EH 1.47 · KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk 1.32), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FCV Dender EH vs KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.