Football · Peru Campeonato Nacional Women · 05/07, 20:00

Prediction: Atletico Andahuaylas (W) vs Sporting Cristal (W)

Expected goals: 3.19 (Atletico Andahuaylas (W) 1.01 · Sporting Cristal (W) 2.18). The model gives 16% home, 21% draw, 64% away. Under 3.25 goals (52%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Atletico Andahuaylas (W) with 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Sporting Cristal (W) has piled up 7-0-3 in the same span. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Atletico Andahuaylas (W) and 1 for Sporting Cristal (W).

64%2
16% 21% 64%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Andahuaylas (W) 1559 · Sporting Cristal (W) 1562
Atletico Andahuaylas (W)DrawSporting Cristal (W)
Our model15%21%63%
Market16%20%64%
Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.19Atletico Andahuaylas (W) 1.01 · Sporting Cristal (W) 2.18
Over / Under 3.25Under 3.25 · 52%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Atletico Andahuaylas (W)Sporting Cristal (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.13.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.71.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)43/14/43%78/11/11%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 2.32.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.53.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Andahuaylas (W) 101 Sporting Cristal (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/06/26
Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
Sporting Cristal (W)4-1
HT 1-0
Atletico Andahuaylas (W)
10/05/26
Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
Atletico Andahuaylas (W)2-1Sporting Cristal (W)

Standings · Peru Campeonato Nacional Women · Liga Femenina 2026, Clausura

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Atletico Andahuaylas (W) 000 000
1 Biavo FC (W) 000 000
1 Carlos Mannucci (W) 000 000
1 Alianza Lima (W) 000 000
1 Yanapuma (W) 000 000
1 Defensores Del Ilucan (W) 000 000
1 FBC Melgar (W) 000 000
1 FC Killas (W) 000 000
1 Flamengo FBC (W) 000 000
1 Sporting Cristal (W) 000 000
1 UNSAAC (W) 000 000
1 Universitario de Deportes (W) 000 000

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAtletico Andahuaylas (W)Sporting Cristal (W)
Defensores Del Ilucan (W) 1-0 W 3-1 W
FBC Melgar (W) 2-1 W 8-1 W
Alianza Lima (W) 1-1 D 0-1 L
Carlos Mannucci (W) 1-0 W 7-0 W
FC Killas (W) 1-0 W 4-1 W
UNSAAC (W) 1-0 W 1-0 W
Universitario de Deportes (W) 0-4 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 1 L 5 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sporting Cristal (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Andahuaylas (W)

LWWWWDWWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Sporting Cristal (W)
Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
0-1 1-4 02 L
14/06 Defensores Del Ilucan (W)
Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
1-0 W
29/05 Yanapuma (W)
Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
2-0 3-0 W
25/05 FBC Melgar (W)
Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
0-1 2-1 47 W
20/05 Alianza Lima (W)
Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
1-0 1-1 21 D
10/05 Sporting Cristal (W)
Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
2-1 W
03/05 Carlos Mannucci (W)
Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
0-0 1-0 34 W
24/04 FC Killas (W)
Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
1-0 1-0 44 W
29/03 UNSAAC (W)
Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
1-0 W
21/03 Universitario de Deportes (W)
Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
0-3 0-4 13 L

Sporting Cristal (W)

WLWLWWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Atletico Andahuaylas (W)
Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
1-0 4-1 32 W
20/06 FBC Melgar (W)
Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
2-1 8-1 44 W
30/05 Alianza Lima (W)
Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
0-1 0-1 57 L
24/05 Carlos Mannucci (W)
Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
3-0 7-0 W
21/05 UNSAAC (W)
Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
1-0 1-0 04 W
16/05 FC Killas (W)
Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
3-0 4-1 52 W
10/05 Atletico Andahuaylas (W)
Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
1-2 L
03/05 Flamengo FBC (W)
Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
2-1 5-1 123 W
25/04 Universitario de Deportes (W)
Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
1-0 1-3 12 L
27/03 Defensores Del Ilucan (W)
Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
1-1 3-1 54 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Andahuaylas (W) vs Sporting Cristal (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sporting Cristal (W) win (64%). Probabilities: Atletico Andahuaylas (W) 16%, draw 21%, Sporting Cristal (W) 64%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Andahuaylas (W) vs Sporting Cristal (W)?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Atletico Andahuaylas (W) 1.01 · Sporting Cristal (W) 2.18), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Andahuaylas (W) vs Sporting Cristal (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.