Prediction: Universitario de Deportes (W) vs Alianza Lima (W)
Expected goals: 3.05 (Universitario de Deportes (W) 1.84 · Alianza Lima (W) 1.21). The model gives 51% home, 25% draw, 24% away. Over 2.75 goals (52%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Universitario de Deportes (W) sits at 8-1-1 (W-D-L), while Alianza Lima (W) arrives on a 6-2-2 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Universitario de Deportes (W) won 1 and Alianza Lima (W) 2, with 3 draws.
| Universitario de Deportes (W) | Draw | Alianza Lima (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Market | 51% | 25% | 24% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Alianza Lima (W): 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universitario de Deportes (W) | Alianza Lima (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.9 / 0.5 | 2.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 1.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 57/14/29% | 63/25/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 2.6 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universitario de Deportes (W) 1–3–2 Alianza Lima (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Peru Campeonato Nacional Women | Alianza Lima (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Universitario de Deportes (W) |
| 17/05/26 Peru Campeonato Nacional Women | Alianza Lima (W) | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Universitario de Deportes (W) |
| 13/12/25 Peru Campeonato Nacional Women | Universitario de Deportes (W) | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Alianza Lima (W) |
| 07/12/25 Peru Campeonato Nacional Women | Alianza Lima (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Universitario de Deportes (W) |
| 15/11/25 Peru Campeonato Nacional Women | Alianza Lima (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Universitario de Deportes (W) |
| 09/11/25 Peru Campeonato Nacional Women | Universitario de Deportes (W) | 0-0 | Alianza Lima (W) |
Standings · Peru Campeonato Nacional Women · Liga Femenina 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Andahuaylas (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Biavo FC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Carlos Mannucci (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Alianza Lima (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Yanapuma (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Defensores Del Ilucan (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FBC Melgar (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Killas (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Flamengo FBC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | UNSAAC (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Universitario de Deportes (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universitario de Deportes (W) | Alianza Lima (W) |
|---|---|---|
| UNSAAC (W) | 5-0 W | 7-1 W |
| Flamengo FBC (W) | 2-2 D | 5-0 W |
| Yanapuma (W) | 10-0 W | 4-1 W |
| FBC Melgar (W) | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Sporting Cristal (W) | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Atletico Andahuaylas (W) | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 0 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Universitario de Deportes (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universitario de Deportes (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Alianza Lima (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | UNSAAC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | FC Killas (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/05 | Flamengo FBC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 20/05 | Yanapuma (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 10-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Alianza Lima (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Defensores Del Ilucan (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
2-0 | 7-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | FBC Melgar (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Sporting Cristal (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 21/03 | Atletico Andahuaylas (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Alianza Lima (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Universitario de Deportes (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Yanapuma (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/06 | FBC Melgar (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 30/05 | Sporting Cristal (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 26/05 | Yanapuma (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Atletico Andahuaylas (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Universitario de Deportes (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | Carlos Mannucci (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | UNSAAC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
4-0 | 7-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 28/03 | Flamengo FBC (W) Peru Campeonato Nacional Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universitario de Deportes (W) vs Alianza Lima (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Universitario de Deportes (W) win (51%). Probabilities: Universitario de Deportes (W) 51%, draw 25%, Alianza Lima (W) 24%.
How many goals are expected in Universitario de Deportes (W) vs Alianza Lima (W)?
The model expects 3.05 goals (Universitario de Deportes (W) 1.84 · Alianza Lima (W) 1.21), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Universitario de Deportes (W) vs Alianza Lima (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.