Prediction: CA San Miguel vs Ferro Carril Oeste
Expected goals: 1.99 (CA San Miguel 0.94 · Ferro Carril Oeste 1.05). The model gives 31% home, 33% draw, 36% away. Over 1.75 goals (52%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 0-0.
Over its last 10 matches, CA San Miguel sits at 2-6-2 (W-D-L), while Ferro Carril Oeste arrives on a 8-1-1 run. In the last 5 head-to-head meetings the record reads 2 wins for CA San Miguel and 1 for Ferro Carril Oeste, with 2 draws.
| CA San Miguel | Draw | Ferro Carril Oeste | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 34% | 36% |
| Market | 31% | 33% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferro Carril Oeste (rating 1517 vs 1568).
- H2H favours CA San Miguel: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA San Miguel | Ferro Carril Oeste | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.1 | 2.6 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.7 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA San Miguel 2–2–1 Ferro Carril Oeste
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Argentina Nacional B | Ferro Carril Oeste | 1-1 HT 0-1 | CA San Miguel |
| 14/09/25 Argentina Nacional B | Ferro Carril Oeste | 0-1 HT 0-1 | CA San Miguel |
| 10/05/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA San Miguel | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Ferro Carril Oeste |
| 12/10/24 Argentina Nacional B | CA San Miguel | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ferro Carril Oeste |
| 26/05/24 Argentina Nacional B | Ferro Carril Oeste | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA San Miguel |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 37 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Colon | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 32 |
| 4 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
| 5 | Los Andes | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 7 | 29 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 29 |
| 7 | Deportivo Madryn | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 28 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 27 |
| 9 | Godoy Cruz | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 25 |
| 10 | CA San Miguel | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 20 | 25 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 23 |
| 12 | Racing de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 21 |
| 13 | CA San Telmo | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 18 | 20 |
| 14 | All Boys | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 20 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 19 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 20 | 19 |
| 17 | Club Atletico Mitre | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 24 | 18 |
| 18 | CA Chaco For Ever | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 25 | 13 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA San Miguel | Ferro Carril Oeste |
|---|---|---|
| Central Norte | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Acassuso | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Deportivo Madryn | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Defensores de Belgrano | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 1-1 D | 4-2 W |
| Almirante Brown | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 0 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ferro Carril Oeste (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA San Miguel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 01/05 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 6 | L |
Ferro Carril Oeste
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 14/06 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 24/05 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 29/04 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA San Miguel vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ferro Carril Oeste win (36%). Probabilities: CA San Miguel 31%, draw 33%, Ferro Carril Oeste 36%.
How many goals are expected in CA San Miguel vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
The model expects 1.99 goals (CA San Miguel 0.94 · Ferro Carril Oeste 1.05), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA San Miguel vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.