Prediction: CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Club Atletico Mitre
Expected goals: 2.1 (CA Estudiantes Caseros 1.46 · Club Atletico Mitre 0.64). The model gives 56% home, 29% draw, 15% away. Over 1.75 goals (54%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Recent form leaves CA Estudiantes Caseros with 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; Club Atletico Mitre has piled up 2-4-4 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, CA Estudiantes Caseros won 1 and Club Atletico Mitre 4, with 1 draw.
| CA Estudiantes Caseros | Draw | Club Atletico Mitre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 29% | 15% |
| Market | 56% | 28% | 15% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Estudiantes Caseros (rating 1529 vs 1476).
- H2H favours Club Atletico Mitre: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Estudiantes Caseros | Club Atletico Mitre | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.6 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Estudiantes Caseros 1–1–4 Club Atletico Mitre
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/26 Argentina Nacional B | Club Atletico Mitre | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 05/10/25 Argentina Nacional B | Club Atletico Mitre | 1-1 HT 1-0 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 31/05/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Club Atletico Mitre |
| 30/09/23 Argentina Nacional B | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Club Atletico Mitre |
| 21/05/23 Argentina Nacional B | Club Atletico Mitre | 3-0 HT 2-0 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 12/06/22 Argentina Nacional B | Club Atletico Mitre | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 37 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Colon | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 32 |
| 4 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
| 5 | Los Andes | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 7 | 29 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 29 |
| 7 | Deportivo Madryn | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 28 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 27 |
| 9 | Godoy Cruz | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 25 |
| 10 | CA San Miguel | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 20 | 25 |
| 11 | Defensores de Belgrano | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 23 |
| 12 | Racing de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 21 |
| 13 | CA San Telmo | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 18 | 20 |
| 14 | All Boys | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 20 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 19 |
| 16 | Acassuso | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 20 | 19 |
| 17 | Club Atletico Mitre | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 24 | 18 |
| 18 | CA Chaco For Ever | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 25 | 13 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Estudiantes Caseros | Club Atletico Mitre |
|---|---|---|
| All Boys | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Los Andes | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Godoy Cruz | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Moron | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Colon | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| CA San Miguel | 1-1 D | 4-0 W |
| CA San Telmo | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Acassuso | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 4 D 1 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Estudiantes Caseros (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Estudiantes Caseros
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 16/05 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 09/05 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 11 | D |
| 26/04 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
Club Atletico Mitre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Club Atletico Mitre?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Estudiantes Caseros win (56%). Probabilities: CA Estudiantes Caseros 56%, draw 29%, Club Atletico Mitre 15%.
How many goals are expected in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Club Atletico Mitre?
The model expects 2.1 goals (CA Estudiantes Caseros 1.46 · Club Atletico Mitre 0.64), with a 54% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Estudiantes Caseros vs Club Atletico Mitre?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.