Football · Argentina Nacional B · 12/07, 21:00

Prediction: Gimnasia Jujuy vs Chacarita Juniors

Expected goals: 2.23 (Gimnasia Jujuy 1.59 · Chacarita Juniors 0.64). The model gives 60% home, 27% draw, 14% away. Over 2 goals (54%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-0.

Over its last 10 matches, Gimnasia Jujuy sits at 4-4-2 (W-D-L), while Chacarita Juniors arrives on a 4-2-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Gimnasia Jujuy and 2 for Chacarita Juniors, with 1 draw.

60%1
60% 27% 14%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gimnasia Jujuy 1529 · Chacarita Juniors 1498
Gimnasia JujuyDrawChacarita Juniors
Our model59%27%14%
Market60%26%14%
Estimated total (ours) 2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.23Gimnasia Jujuy 1.59 · Chacarita Juniors 0.64
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 54%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Gimnasia Jujuy: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Gimnasia JujuyChacarita Juniors
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.20.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.30.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.5 / 5.31.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.45.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnasia Jujuy 312 Chacarita Juniors

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/02/26
Argentina Nacional B
Chacarita Juniors3-1
HT 1-0
Gimnasia Jujuy
05/10/25
Argentina Nacional B
Gimnasia Jujuy2-0
HT 1-0
Chacarita Juniors
01/06/25
Argentina Nacional B
Chacarita Juniors0-1
HT 0-0
Gimnasia Jujuy
27/10/24
Argentina Nacional B
Chacarita Juniors0-0
HT 0-0
Gimnasia Jujuy
12/06/24
Argentina Nacional B
Gimnasia Jujuy0-1
HT 0-0
Chacarita Juniors
17/09/23
Argentina Nacional B
Gimnasia Jujuy2-0
HT 0-0
Chacarita Juniors

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Gimnasia Jujuy 191144 312137
2 CA Atlanta 191036 241533
3 Tristan Suarez 19793 161130
4 Club Atletico Temperley 19793 191730
5 Ferrocarril Midland 19766 201527
6 Atletico Rafaela 19766 141327
7 San Martin de Tucuman 19685 161526
8 Deportivo Maipu 19748 242025
9 Nueva Chicago 18675 171625
10 Almagro 19748 161925
11 Quilmes 19667 181524
12 Gimnasia y Tiro 19667 182024
13 CA Colegiales 19658 181923
13 San Martin SJ 18657 181923
15 Chacarita Juniors 19649 152022
16 Patronato Parana 19496 121621
17 CA Guemes 195410 183219
18 Agropecuario 19469 142418

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGimnasia JujuyChacarita Juniors
Ferrocarril Midland 1-1 D 1-0 W
Nueva Chicago 4-0 W 0-2 L
San Martin SJ 2-1 W 1-0 W
Club Atletico Temperley 1-0 W 0-1 L
Deportivo Maipu 1-1 D 2-3 L
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Gimnasia Jujuy (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gimnasia Jujuy

DLWDDLWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 Ferrocarril Midland
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 1-1 28 D
21/06 CA Guemes
Argentina Nacional B
2-1 3-1 20 W
17/06 Nueva Chicago
Argentina Nacional B
2-0 4-0 54 W
14/06 San Martin SJ
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 2-1 56 W
06/06 CA Atlanta
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-3 105 L
30/05 Belgrano
Argentina Cup
1-1 2-2 47 D
24/05 Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 1-1 84 D
17/05 Club Atletico Temperley
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 1-0 66 W
13/05 San Martin de Tucuman
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-2 18 L
03/05 Deportivo Maipu
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 1-1 106 D

Chacarita Juniors

WDWLWLLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 San Martin SJ
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 1-0 29 W
21/06 Tristan Suarez
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 24 D
13/06 Nueva Chicago
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-2 58 L
07/06 Club Atletico Temperley
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 0-1 87 L
31/05 Deportivo Maipu
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 2-3 86 L
24/05 Almagro
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 1-0 52 W
17/05 Patronato Parana
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 0-2 26 L
10/05 CA Colegiales
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 2-0 31 W
05/05 Quilmes
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 15 D
26/04 Ferrocarril Midland
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 1-0 47 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gimnasia Jujuy vs Chacarita Juniors?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnasia Jujuy win (60%). Probabilities: Gimnasia Jujuy 60%, draw 27%, Chacarita Juniors 14%.

How many goals are expected in Gimnasia Jujuy vs Chacarita Juniors?

The model expects 2.23 goals (Gimnasia Jujuy 1.59 · Chacarita Juniors 0.64), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Gimnasia Jujuy vs Chacarita Juniors?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.