Prediction: CA Guemes vs San Martin SJ
Expected goals: 2.25 (CA Guemes 1.13 · San Martin SJ 1.13). The model gives 34% home, 32% draw, 34% away. Over 1.75 goals (57%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, CA Guemes is 3-0-7 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and San Martin SJ 4-2-4 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, CA Guemes won 2 and San Martin SJ 2, with 2 draws.
| CA Guemes | Draw | San Martin SJ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 31% | 34% |
| Market | 34% | 33% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Martin SJ (rating 1435 vs 1503).
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Guemes | San Martin SJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.3 | 1.8 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.4 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Guemes 2–2–2 San Martin SJ
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin SJ | 2-1 HT 1-0 | CA Guemes |
| 30/06/24 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin SJ | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Guemes |
| 11/02/24 Argentina Nacional B | CA Guemes | 1-0 HT 1-0 | San Martin SJ |
| 01/07/23 Argentina Nacional B | CA Guemes | 4-0 HT 2-0 | San Martin SJ |
| 26/02/23 Argentina Nacional B | San Martin SJ | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Guemes |
| 27/02/22 Argentina Nacional B | CA Guemes | 1-1 HT 1-1 | San Martin SJ |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 | Club Atletico Temperley | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 30 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
| 6 | Atletico Rafaela | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| 7 | San Martin de Tucuman | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 26 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 20 | 25 |
| 9 | Nueva Chicago | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 25 |
| 10 | Almagro | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 25 |
| 11 | Quilmes | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 15 | 24 |
| 12 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 24 |
| 13 | CA Colegiales | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 23 |
| 13 | San Martin SJ | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 23 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 22 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 21 |
| 17 | CA Guemes | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 32 | 19 |
| 18 | Agropecuario | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 18 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Guemes | San Martin SJ |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia Jujuy | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Club Atletico Temperley | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Deportivo Maipu | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Almagro | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Patronato Parana | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| CA Colegiales | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Quilmes | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: San Martin SJ (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Guemes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 14/06 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
San Martin SJ
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 20/06 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 14/06 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 13/05 | Platense Argentina Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Guemes vs San Martin SJ?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Guemes win (34%). Probabilities: CA Guemes 34%, draw 32%, San Martin SJ 34%.
How many goals are expected in CA Guemes vs San Martin SJ?
The model expects 2.25 goals (CA Guemes 1.13 · San Martin SJ 1.13), with a 57% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Guemes vs San Martin SJ?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.