Prediction: Tristan Suarez vs Nueva Chicago
Expected goals: 1.71 (Tristan Suarez 0.98 · Nueva Chicago 0.73). The model gives 40% home, 34% draw, 26% away. Under 1.75 goals (51%) and not both to score (55%). Most likely score: 0-0.
Recent form leaves Tristan Suarez with 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Nueva Chicago has piled up 2-4-4 in the same span. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for Tristan Suarez and 1 for Nueva Chicago, with 1 draw.
| Tristan Suarez | Draw | Nueva Chicago | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 36% | 25% |
| Market | 41% | 33% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tristan Suarez | Nueva Chicago | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.7 | 1.7 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tristan Suarez 0–1–1 Nueva Chicago
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Argentina Nacional B | Nueva Chicago | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tristan Suarez |
| 19/03/22 Argentina Nacional B | Tristan Suarez | 3-4 HT 1-0 | Nueva Chicago |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 | Club Atletico Temperley | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 30 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
| 6 | Atletico Rafaela | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| 7 | San Martin de Tucuman | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 26 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 20 | 25 |
| 9 | Nueva Chicago | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 25 |
| 10 | Almagro | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 25 |
| 11 | Quilmes | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 15 | 24 |
| 12 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 24 |
| 13 | CA Colegiales | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 23 |
| 13 | San Martin SJ | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 23 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 22 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 21 |
| 17 | CA Guemes | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 32 | 19 |
| 18 | Agropecuario | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 18 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tristan Suarez | Nueva Chicago |
|---|---|---|
| Club Atletico Temperley | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Chacarita Juniors | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Deportivo Maipu | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Almagro | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Patronato Parana | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| CA Colegiales | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Quilmes | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Tristan Suarez (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tristan Suarez
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
Nueva Chicago
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/06 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/06 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/05 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 26/04 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tristan Suarez vs Nueva Chicago?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tristan Suarez win (40%). Probabilities: Tristan Suarez 40%, draw 34%, Nueva Chicago 26%.
How many goals are expected in Tristan Suarez vs Nueva Chicago?
The model expects 1.71 goals (Tristan Suarez 0.98 · Nueva Chicago 0.73), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tristan Suarez vs Nueva Chicago?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.