Prediction: Atletico Rafaela vs Deportivo Maipu
Expected goals: 1.77 (Atletico Rafaela 0.91 · Deportivo Maipu 0.86). The model gives 34% home, 36% draw, 31% away. Under 1.75 goals (51%) and not both to score (54%). Most likely score: 0-0.
On recent form, Atletico Rafaela is 3-3-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Deportivo Maipu 5-2-3 over its own. In the last 4 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Atletico Rafaela and 1 for Deportivo Maipu, with 2 draws.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Maipu (rating 1481 vs 1528).
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Atletico Rafaela | Deportivo Maipu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.2 | 2.1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 4.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico Rafaela 1–2–1 Deportivo Maipu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Maipu | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Atletico Rafaela |
| 17/09/23 Argentina Nacional B | Atletico Rafaela | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Maipu |
| 07/05/23 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Maipu | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Atletico Rafaela |
| 02/05/22 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Maipu | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Rafaela |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 | Club Atletico Temperley | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 30 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
| 6 | Atletico Rafaela | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| 7 | San Martin de Tucuman | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 26 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 20 | 25 |
| 9 | Nueva Chicago | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 25 |
| 10 | Almagro | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 25 |
| 11 | Quilmes | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 15 | 24 |
| 12 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 24 |
| 13 | CA Colegiales | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 23 |
| 13 | San Martin SJ | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 23 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 22 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 21 |
| 17 | CA Guemes | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 32 | 19 |
| 18 | Agropecuario | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 18 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Atletico Rafaela | Deportivo Maipu |
|---|---|---|
| Almagro | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Nueva Chicago | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Gimnasia y Tiro | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Gimnasia Jujuy | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Maipu (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Atletico Rafaela
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 23/06 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | D |
Deportivo Maipu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/06 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
4-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Atletico Rafaela vs Deportivo Maipu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a draw (36%). Probabilities: Atletico Rafaela 34%, draw 36%, Deportivo Maipu 31%.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Rafaela vs Deportivo Maipu?
The model expects 1.77 goals (Atletico Rafaela 0.91 · Deportivo Maipu 0.86), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Atletico Rafaela vs Deportivo Maipu?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.