Prediction: Ferrocarril Midland vs Quilmes
Expected goals: 1.76 (Ferrocarril Midland 1.03 · Quilmes 0.73). The model gives 41% home, 34% draw, 25% away. Over 1.75 goals (50%) and not both to score (54%). Most likely score: 0-0.
Recent form leaves Ferrocarril Midland with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Quilmes has piled up 3-3-4 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for Ferrocarril Midland and 0 for Quilmes, with 1 draw.
| Ferrocarril Midland | Draw | Quilmes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 35% | 24% |
| Market | 42% | 33% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ferrocarril Midland | Quilmes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4 | 2.8 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.4 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferrocarril Midland 0–1–0 Quilmes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ferrocarril Midland |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 | Club Atletico Temperley | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 30 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
| 6 | Atletico Rafaela | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| 7 | San Martin de Tucuman | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 26 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 20 | 25 |
| 9 | Nueva Chicago | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 25 |
| 10 | Almagro | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 19 | 25 |
| 11 | Quilmes | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 15 | 24 |
| 12 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 24 |
| 13 | CA Colegiales | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 23 |
| 13 | San Martin SJ | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 23 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 22 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 21 |
| 17 | CA Guemes | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 32 | 19 |
| 18 | Agropecuario | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 18 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ferrocarril Midland | Quilmes |
|---|---|---|
| CA Atlanta | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Gimnasia y Tiro | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| San Martin de Tucuman | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Atletico Rafaela | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Agropecuario | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Tristan Suarez | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| CA Guemes | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Chacarita Juniors | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 4 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ferrocarril Midland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 21/06 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 13/06 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
Quilmes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 07/06 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ferrocarril Midland vs Quilmes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ferrocarril Midland win (41%). Probabilities: Ferrocarril Midland 41%, draw 34%, Quilmes 25%.
How many goals are expected in Ferrocarril Midland vs Quilmes?
The model expects 1.76 goals (Ferrocarril Midland 1.03 · Quilmes 0.73), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ferrocarril Midland vs Quilmes?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.