Football · Belgium First Division B · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: Eupen vs Genk II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Eupen2.03

Genk II1.12

1X2

57% 24% 19%

Eupen Draw Genk II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Eupen 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDLWWWWW

Genk II 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LLDDWDDDWL

Head-to-head

Eupen 2–1–1 Genk II (4 last)

Genk II2-0Eupen
Eupen2-1Genk II
Genk II0-0Eupen
Eupen3-1Genk II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eupen 1596 · Genk II 1484

	Eupen	Draw	Genk II
Our model	58%	23%	19%
Market	57%	24%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eupen (rating 1596 vs 1484).
H2H favours Eupen: 2-1-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eupen	Genk II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 0.8	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.1	2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	3.2 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.70

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Pinn 1.61
X	3.70 → 3.70	Pinn 4.07 ★
2	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 4.84

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
09:43 +12’	1.57	3.70	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:55	1.60	4.11	4.88
19:48 +14’	1.61▲	4.07▼	4.84▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Eupen 2–1–1 Genk II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/01/26 Belgium First Division B	Genk II	2-0 HT 0-0	Eupen
25/10/25 Belgium First Division B	Eupen	2-1 HT 1-0	Genk II
16/02/25 Belgium First Division B	Genk II	0-0 HT 0-0	Eupen
27/09/24 Belgium First Division B	Eupen	3-1 HT 0-0	Genk II

Standings · Belgium First Division B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club Brugge II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FCV Dender EH	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gent II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Genk II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Eupen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lierse Kempenzonen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	KSC Lokeren Temse	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RFC Liege	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Seraing United	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Excelsior Virton	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Francs Borains	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Anderlecht II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sporting Hasselt	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eupen	Genk II
KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk	3-3 D	0-1 L
Club Brugge II	1-0 W	0-0 D
Seraing United	0-0 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Eupen (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Eupen

WDWDLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	VVV Europe Friendlies	2-0	3-2	6	4	W
29/07	Aywaille Europe Friendlies	1-0	8-0	14	2	W
25/07	Wiltz Europe Friendlies	3-0	9-0	4	2	W
15/07	La Calamine Europe Friendlies	2-1	2-1	11	0	W
03/07	Groene Ster Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	7	1	W
17/04	RFC Liege Belgium First Division B	1-1	1-2	7	2	L
10/04	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division B	2-1	3-3	2	4	D
04/04	Club Brugge II Belgium First Division B	1-0	1-0	2	2	W
20/03	Seraing United Belgium First Division B	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
13/03	Anderlecht II Belgium First Division B	1-0	1-0	5	3	W

Genk II

LLDDWDDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	KVV Zelzate Club Friendly List	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
22/07	Eendracht Termien Europe Friendlies	3-2	3-2	7	0	W
17/04	Gent II Belgium First Division B	0-0	1-1	6	3	D
11/04	Francs Borains Belgium First Division B	1-1	2-2	2	6	D
03/04	KSC Lokeren Temse Belgium First Division B	1-1	2-2	3	4	D
20/03	ROC Charleroi Belgium First Division B	0-0	2-1	7	4	W
14/03	Seraing United Belgium First Division B	2-0	2-2	3	2	D
10/03	Club Brugge II Belgium First Division B	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
06/03	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division B	0-1	0-1	0	4	L
28/02	Lierse Kempenzonen Belgium First Division B	1-2	2-3	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eupen vs Genk II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Eupen win (57%). Probabilities: Eupen 57%, draw 24%, Genk II 19%.

How many goals are expected in Eupen vs Genk II?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Eupen 2.03 · Genk II 1.12), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Eupen vs Genk II?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.