Football · Belgium First Division B · 17/08, 20:00

Prediction: RFC Liege vs Francs Borains

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.88Total

RFC Liege1.4

Francs Borains1.48

1X2

34% 27% 38%

RFC Liege Draw Francs Borains

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

RFC Liege 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLLDLD

Francs Borains 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

RFC Liege 3–1–2 Francs Borains (6 last)

RFC Liege3-1Francs Borains
Francs Borains2-0RFC Liege
RFC Liege0-1Francs Borains
Francs Borains1-2RFC Liege
Francs Borains2-2RFC Liege
RFC Liege1-0Francs Borains

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francs Borains (rating 1477 vs 1545).
H2H favours RFC Liege: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RFC Liege	Francs Borains
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.5	2.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.1	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/22/56%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.7	2.1 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	2.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.92

Under 2.751.87

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:46

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.02 → 2.02	Pinn 2.02
X	3.58 → 3.58	Pinn 3.58
2	3.41 → 3.41	Pinn 3.41

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:45 +1’	2.02	3.58	3.41

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RFC Liege 3–1–2 Francs Borains

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/01/26 Belgium First Division B	RFC Liege	3-1 HT 3-1	Francs Borains
21/11/25 Belgium First Division B	Francs Borains	2-0 HT 1-0	RFC Liege
08/02/25 Belgium First Division B	RFC Liege	0-1 HT 0-0	Francs Borains
18/10/24 Belgium First Division B	Francs Borains	1-2 HT 0-1	RFC Liege
07/04/24 Belgium First Division B	Francs Borains	2-2 HT 1-1	RFC Liege
10/12/23 Belgium First Division B	RFC Liege	1-0 HT 1-0	Francs Borains

Standings · Belgium First Division B

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club Brugge II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FCV Dender EH	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gent II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Genk II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Eupen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Lierse Kempenzonen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	KSC Lokeren Temse	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RFC Liege	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Seraing United	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Excelsior Virton	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Francs Borains	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Anderlecht II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sporting Hasselt	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

RFC Liege

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Bissen Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	6	1	D
22/07	Sint-Truidense Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
24/06	Richelle United Club Friendly List	–	1-1	–	–	D
27/04	Lommel Belgium First Division B	1-2	1-2	11	3	L
23/04	Lommel Belgium First Division A Play-Offs	0-2	0-3	2	3	L
17/04	Eupen Belgium First Division B	1-1	2-1	6	2	W
12/04	Gent II Belgium First Division B	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
05/04	ROC Charleroi Belgium First Division B	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
21/03	SK Beveren Belgium First Division B	0-3	0-4	2	1	L
14/03	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division B	0-1	0-1	5	5	L

Francs Borains

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Feignies Aulnoye FC Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-0	4	0	W
23/07	Tubize Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-0	1	2	W
15/07	Reims Club Friendly List	0-3	1-4	–	–	L
11/07	Standard Liege Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	6	0	L
10/07	Crossing Schaerbeek Europe Friendlies	3-0	5-2	6	2	W
24/04	Seraing United Europe Friendlies	2-1	4-2	2	2	W
17/04	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Belgium First Division B	0-1	0-4	4	2	L
11/04	Genk II Belgium First Division B	1-1	2-2	3	6	D
04/04	Lierse Kempenzonen Belgium First Division B	0-0	2-0	3	7	W
21/03	KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division B	1-0	4-1	8	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RFC Liege vs Francs Borains?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Francs Borains win (38%). Probabilities: RFC Liege 34%, draw 27%, Francs Borains 38%.

How many goals are expected in RFC Liege vs Francs Borains?

The model expects 2.88 goals (RFC Liege 1.4 · Francs Borains 1.48), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in RFC Liege vs Francs Borains?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.