Football · Belgium First Division B · 13/09, 19:15
Prediction: Patro Eisden Maasmechelen vs Eupen
Team pages: Patro Eisden Maasmechelen · Eupen
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen1.54
Eupen1.26
1X2
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
Draw
Eupen
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Eupen
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
2–1–3
Eupen
(6 last)
- Patro Eisden Maasmechelen0-1Eupen
- Eupen0-0Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
- Patro Eisden Maasmechelen1-0Eupen
- Eupen0-4Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
- Patro Eisden Maasmechelen1-2Eupen
- Eupen6-0Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1463 · Eupen 1602
| Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | Draw | Eupen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eupen (rating 1463 vs 1602).
- H2H favours Eupen: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | Eupen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.9 | 1.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.6 | 2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.4 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 2–1–3 Eupen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/25 Belgium First Division B | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Eupen |
| 20/09/25 Belgium First Division B | Eupen | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen |
| 18/04/25 Belgium First Division B | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Eupen |
| 10/11/24 Belgium First Division B | Eupen | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen |
| 21/02/16 Belgium First Division B | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Eupen |
| 07/10/15 Belgium First Division B | Eupen | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen |
Standings · Belgium First Division B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | FCV Dender EH | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Excelsior Virton | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Francs Borains | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | KSC Lokeren Temse | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 9 |
| 6 | Sporting Hasselt | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Eupen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Club Brugge II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Genk II | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 6 |
| 10 | Lierse Kempenzonen | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 5 |
| 11 | RFC Liege | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Gent II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
| 14 | RFC Seraing | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
| 15 | Anderlecht II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Patro Eisden Maasmechelen | Eupen |
|---|---|---|
| KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk | 2-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Club Brugge II | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Lierse Kempenzonen | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Anderlecht II | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| RFC Seraing | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| RFC Liege | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Eupen (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division B |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Club Brugge II Belgium First Division B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Lierse Kempenzonen Belgium First Division B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 15/08 | Anderlecht II Belgium First Division B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 27/04 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 17/04 | Francs Borains Belgium First Division B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | RFC Seraing Belgium First Division B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 20/03 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 13/03 | Lierse Kempenzonen Belgium First Division B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 10/03 | RFC Liege Belgium First Division B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
Eupen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Club Brugge II Belgium First Division B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 21/08 | KSC Lokeren Temse Belgium First Division B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | Genk II Belgium First Division B |
1-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/04 | RFC Liege Belgium First Division B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 10/04 | KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division B |
2-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 04/04 | Club Brugge II Belgium First Division B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/03 | RFC Seraing Belgium First Division B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 13/03 | Anderlecht II Belgium First Division B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 10/03 | Lierse Kempenzonen Belgium First Division B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 06/03 | Gent II Belgium First Division B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patro Eisden Maasmechelen vs Eupen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Patro Eisden Maasmechelen win (43%). Probabilities: Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 43%, draw 27%, Eupen 30%.
How many goals are expected in Patro Eisden Maasmechelen vs Eupen?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1.54 · Eupen 1.26), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Patro Eisden Maasmechelen vs Eupen?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.