Football · Belgium First Division B · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Francs Borains vs RFC Seraing

Team pages: Francs Borains · RFC Seraing

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Francs Borains1.84

RFC Seraing1.29

1X2

49% 25% 26%

Francs Borains Draw RFC Seraing

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Francs Borains 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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RFC Seraing 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLDLWW

Head-to-head

Francs Borains 2–2–2 RFC Seraing (6 last)

Francs Borains4-2RFC Seraing
RFC Seraing4-0Francs Borains
Francs Borains0-0RFC Seraing
Francs Borains4-1RFC Seraing
RFC Seraing1-1Francs Borains
Francs Borains0-1RFC Seraing

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Francs Borains 1515 · RFC Seraing 1466

	Francs Borains	Draw	RFC Seraing
Our model	49%	25%	26%
Market	49%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francs Borains (rating 1515 vs 1466).
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Francs Borains	RFC Seraing
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.2	1.7 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.4	4.3 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.50

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
21:03 +80’	1.83	3.50	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Francs Borains 2–2–2 RFC Seraing

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Europe Friendlies	Francs Borains	4-2 HT 2-1	RFC Seraing
08/03/26 Belgium First Division B	RFC Seraing	4-0 HT 3-0	Francs Borains
23/09/25 Belgium First Division B	Francs Borains	0-0 HT 0-0	RFC Seraing
04/07/25 Europe Friendlies	Francs Borains	4-1 HT 1-1	RFC Seraing
25/01/25 Belgium First Division B	RFC Seraing	1-1 HT 0-1	Francs Borains
03/11/24 Belgium First Division B	Francs Borains	0-1 HT 0-0	RFC Seraing

Standings · Belgium First Division B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk	9	8	0	1	23	7	24
2	FCV Dender EH	8	6	1	1	12	3	19
3	Eupen	8	5	0	3	15	9	15
4	Sporting Hasselt	8	5	0	3	12	13	15
5	Excelsior Virton	8	4	1	3	14	10	13
6	KSC Lokeren Temse	8	4	1	3	16	14	13
7	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	9	4	0	5	14	15	12
8	Francs Borains	7	4	0	3	9	10	12
9	Gent II	8	3	2	3	11	13	11
10	Club Brugge II	8	2	3	3	14	17	9
11	Genk II	9	2	3	4	13	16	9
12	Lierse Kempenzonen	7	2	2	3	7	10	8
13	RFC Seraing	9	2	2	5	12	16	8
14	RFC Liege	9	1	2	6	13	22	5
15	Anderlecht II	7	0	1	6	7	17	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Francs Borains	RFC Seraing
Lierse Kempenzonen	0-3 L	1-1 D
KSC Lokeren Temse	3-0 W	0-2 L
Excelsior Virton	1-0 W	3-1 W
Sporting Hasselt	0-1 L	1-2 L
RFC Liege	2-1 W	1-0 W
Genk II	2-2 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: RFC Seraing (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Francs Borains

WDLWLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division B	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
10/10	Lierse Kempenzonen Belgium First Division B	0-1	0-3	9	1	L
18/09	Anderlecht II Belgium First Division B	1-2	3-2	7	9	W
06/09	KSC Lokeren Temse Belgium First Division B	1-0	3-0	4	4	W
30/08	Excelsior Virton Belgium First Division B	0-0	1-0	7	0	W
23/08	Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Division B	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
17/08	RFC Liege Belgium First Division B	0-0	2-1	4	5	W
17/04	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Belgium First Division B	0-1	0-4	4	2	L
11/04	Genk II Belgium First Division B	1-1	2-2	3	6	D
04/04	Lierse Kempenzonen Belgium First Division B	0-0	2-0	3	7	W

RFC Seraing

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	RFC Liege Belgium First Division B	1-0	1-0	3	10	W
24/10	Excelsior Virton Belgium First Division B	1-1	3-1	2	5	W
11/10	Gent II Belgium First Division B	2-1	2-3	1	6	L
19/09	Genk II Belgium First Division B	2-0	2-2	6	5	D
12/09	Sporting Hasselt Belgium First Division B	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
04/09	FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division B	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
30/08	Lierse Kempenzonen Belgium First Division B	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
22/08	Club Brugge II Belgium First Division B	0-1	2-3	3	5	L
14/08	KSC Lokeren Temse Belgium First Division B	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
17/04	SK Beveren Belgium First Division B	0-0	1-2	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Francs Borains vs RFC Seraing?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Francs Borains win (49%). Probabilities: Francs Borains 49%, draw 25%, RFC Seraing 26%.

How many goals are expected in Francs Borains vs RFC Seraing?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Francs Borains 1.84 · RFC Seraing 1.29), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Francs Borains vs RFC Seraing?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.