Football · Belgium First Division B · 04/11, 20:00

Prediction: Anderlecht II vs Lierse Kempenzonen

Team pages: Anderlecht II · Lierse Kempenzonen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.02Total

Anderlecht II1.5

Lierse Kempenzonen1.51

1X2

37% 26% 37%

Anderlecht II Draw Lierse Kempenzonen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Anderlecht II 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLDLLL

Lierse Kempenzonen 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLWDDLWL

Head-to-head

Anderlecht II 1–3–2 Lierse Kempenzonen (6 last)

Anderlecht II2-2Lierse Kempenzonen
Lierse Kempenzonen1-0Anderlecht II
Lierse Kempenzonen3-1Anderlecht II
Anderlecht II2-0Lierse Kempenzonen
Lierse Kempenzonen1-1Anderlecht II
Anderlecht II3-3Lierse Kempenzonen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Anderlecht II 1433 · Lierse Kempenzonen 1511

	Anderlecht II	Draw	Lierse Kempenzonen
Our model	37%	26%	37%
Market	37%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lierse Kempenzonen (rating 1433 vs 1511).
H2H favours Lierse Kempenzonen: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Anderlecht II	Lierse Kempenzonen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.4	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.6	2.4 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.50

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Pinn 2.55
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.89 ★
2	2.38 → 2.38	Pinn 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:45 +20’	2.40	3.50	2.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:00 +21’	2.52	3.80	2.50
15:06 +13’	2.52	3.84▲	2.48▼
20:02 +10’	2.55▲	3.89▲	2.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Anderlecht II 1–3–2 Lierse Kempenzonen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/01/26 Belgium First Division B	Anderlecht II	2-2 HT 0-1	Lierse Kempenzonen
29/11/25 Belgium First Division B	Lierse Kempenzonen	1-0 HT 1-0	Anderlecht II
08/03/25 Belgium First Division B	Lierse Kempenzonen	3-1 HT 2-0	Anderlecht II
30/11/24 Belgium First Division B	Anderlecht II	2-0 HT 2-0	Lierse Kempenzonen
13/04/24 Belgium First Division B	Lierse Kempenzonen	1-1 HT 0-0	Anderlecht II
30/09/23 Belgium First Division B	Anderlecht II	3-3 HT 2-2	Lierse Kempenzonen

Standings · Belgium First Division B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk	9	8	0	1	23	7	24
2	FCV Dender EH	8	6	1	1	12	3	19
3	Eupen	8	5	0	3	15	9	15
4	Sporting Hasselt	8	5	0	3	12	13	15
5	Excelsior Virton	8	4	1	3	14	10	13
6	KSC Lokeren Temse	8	4	1	3	16	14	13
7	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	9	4	0	5	14	15	12
8	Francs Borains	7	4	0	3	9	10	12
9	Gent II	8	3	2	3	11	13	11
10	Club Brugge II	8	2	3	3	14	17	9
11	Genk II	9	2	3	4	13	16	9
12	Lierse Kempenzonen	7	2	2	3	7	10	8
13	RFC Seraing	9	2	2	5	12	16	8
14	RFC Liege	9	1	2	6	13	22	5
15	Anderlecht II	7	0	1	6	7	17	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Anderlecht II	Lierse Kempenzonen
Francs Borains	2-3 L	3-0 W
KSC Lokeren Temse	2-6 L	1-1 D
Gent II	2-2 D	0-2 L
KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk	0-1 L	1-3 L
Excelsior Virton	0-1 L	0-3 L
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	1-2 L	2-1 W
ROC Charleroi	5-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Anderlecht II (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Anderlecht II

LLWLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Eupen Belgium First Division B	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
18/09	Francs Borains Belgium First Division B	2-1	2-3	4	9	L
12/09	KSC Lokeren Temse Belgium First Division B	1-2	2-6	6	4	L
05/09	Gent II Belgium First Division B	1-2	2-2	7	2	D
29/08	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division B	0-1	0-1	10	9	L
21/08	Excelsior Virton Belgium First Division B	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
15/08	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Belgium First Division B	1-0	1-2	3	6	L
17/04	ROC Charleroi Belgium First Division B	2-0	5-0	5	2	W
11/04	RWD Molenbeek Belgium First Division B	0-1	1-2	7	4	L
04/04	SK Beveren Belgium First Division B	0-3	0-5	6	1	L

Lierse Kempenzonen

LWDLWDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Gent II Belgium First Division B	0-0	0-2	2	7	L
10/10	Francs Borains Belgium First Division B	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
11/09	KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk Belgium First Division B	0-2	1-3	4	2	L
06/09	RFC Liege Belgium First Division B	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
30/08	RFC Seraing Belgium First Division B	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
22/08	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Belgium First Division B	0-0	2-1	7	6	W
15/08	Excelsior Virton Belgium First Division B	0-1	0-3	8	5	L
17/04	KSC Lokeren Temse Belgium First Division B	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
11/04	ROC Charleroi Belgium First Division B	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
04/04	Francs Borains Belgium First Division B	0-0	0-2	5	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Anderlecht II vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Anderlecht II win (37%). Probabilities: Anderlecht II 37%, draw 26%, Lierse Kempenzonen 37%.

How many goals are expected in Anderlecht II vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

The model expects 3.02 goals (Anderlecht II 1.5 · Lierse Kempenzonen 1.51), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Anderlecht II vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.