Football · Hungary NB I · 26/07, 18:00

Prediction: Debreceni VSC vs Puskas Academy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Debreceni VSC1.5

Puskas Academy1.14

1X2

45% 28% 28%

Debreceni VSC Draw Puskas Academy

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Debreceni VSC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLDWDLWDLW

Puskas Academy 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWDWDL

Head-to-head

Debreceni VSC 1–1–4 Puskas Academy (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Debreceni VSC 1501 · Puskas Academy 1497

	Debreceni VSC	Draw	Puskas Academy
Our model	44%	28%	28%
Market	45%	27%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Puskas Academy: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Debreceni VSC	Puskas Academy
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.6	2.3 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.30

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.13
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.54 ★
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:14 +8’	2.00	3.30	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:22 +1’	2.15	3.34	3.19
16:20 +1’	2.13▼	3.54▲	3.18▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Debreceni VSC 1–1–4 Puskas Academy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Hungary NB I	Puskas Academy	1-1 HT 1-1	Debreceni VSC
06/12/25 Hungary NB I	Debreceni VSC	0-1 HT 0-1	Puskas Academy
22/08/25 Hungary NB I	Puskas Academy	1-3 HT 0-1	Debreceni VSC
10/05/25 Hungary NB I	Puskas Academy	4-2 HT 2-0	Debreceni VSC
15/02/25 Hungary NB I	Debreceni VSC	1-2 HT 1-0	Puskas Academy
04/10/24 Hungary NB I	Puskas Academy	1-0 HT 0-0	Debreceni VSC

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kispest Honved	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Debreceni VSC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gyori ETO	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ferencvarosi TC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kisvarda FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MTK Budapest	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Paksi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Puskas Academy	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ujpest	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vasas SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Zalaegerszegi TE	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Debreceni VSC	Puskas Academy
Ujpest	2-1 W	2-0 W
Paksi	2-5 L	0-1 L
Gyori ETO	1-1 D	1-4 L
Diosgyori VTK	5-0 W	2-1 W
Ferencvarosi TC	0-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Puskas Academy (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Debreceni VSC

DLDWDLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/07	Slaven Belupo Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
09/07	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Europe Friendlies	1-2	1-3	5	2	L
04/07	FK Austria Vienna Europe Friendlies	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
16/05	Ujpest Hungary NB I	2-0	2-1	7	7	W
03/05	Paksi Hungary NB I	2-2	2-5	3	8	L
26/04	Gyori ETO Hungary NB I	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
18/04	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB I	2-0	5-0	4	0	W
13/04	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
05/04	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-0	0-2	6	2	L
22/03	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	1-1	1-1	2	5	D

Puskas Academy

WLLLWWDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/07	Istanbul Basaksehir Europe Friendlies	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
11/07	FC Blau Weiss Linz Europe Friendlies	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
04/07	Slovan Bratislava Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	8	2	W
15/05	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	0-0	2-2	6	5	D
01/05	Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I	2-1	3-1	8	6	W
25/04	Ujpest Hungary NB I	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
19/04	Paksi Hungary NB I	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
14/04	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	1-2	1-2	5	4	L
10/04	Gyori ETO Hungary NB I	0-1	1-4	4	2	L
05/04	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB I	0-1	2-1	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Debreceni VSC vs Puskas Academy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Debreceni VSC win (45%). Probabilities: Debreceni VSC 45%, draw 28%, Puskas Academy 28%.

How many goals are expected in Debreceni VSC vs Puskas Academy?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Debreceni VSC 1.5 · Puskas Academy 1.14), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Debreceni VSC vs Puskas Academy?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.