Football · Hungary NB I · 24/07, 20:00

Prediction: Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Ujpest

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus1.78

Ujpest1.46

1X2

44% 25% 31%

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Draw Ujpest

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDDLLWWD

Ujpest 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLWDDW

Head-to-head

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 0–4–2 Ujpest (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1525 · Ujpest 1520

	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	Draw	Ujpest
Our model	44%	25%	31%
Market	44%	26%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Ujpest: 2-4-0.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	Ujpest
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.8	2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.7	2 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.50

22.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.4

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.20 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.60
2	2.95 → 2.95	Pinn 2.99

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 6.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:07 +2’	2.05	3.50	2.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:08	1.82	3.78	3.76
17:11	2.16▲	3.62▼	3.05▼
18:13	2.20▲	3.60▼	2.99▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 0–4–2 Ujpest

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Hungary NB I	Ujpest	7-2 HT 3-0	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
24/01/26 Hungary NB I	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	1-1 HT 1-1	Ujpest
26/09/25 Hungary NB I	Ujpest	2-2 HT 2-2	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
16/05/25 Hungary NB I	Ujpest	2-2 HT 1-1	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
22/02/25 Hungary NB I	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	0-0 HT 0-0	Ujpest
19/10/24 Hungary NB I	Ujpest	1-0 HT 0-0	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kispest Honved	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Debreceni VSC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gyori ETO	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ferencvarosi TC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Kisvarda FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MTK Budapest	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Paksi	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Puskas Academy	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ujpest	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Vasas SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Zalaegerszegi TE	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	Ujpest
Universitatea Cluj	3-0 W	0-0 D
Kazincbarcikai BSC	2-2 D	3-0 W
MTK Budapest	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus

WLWDDLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Bukovyna Chernivtsi Europe Friendlies	2-2	2-2	11	1	D
11/07	Mezokovesd Zsory Europe Friendlies	0-0	2-0	5	0	W
03/07	Universitatea Cluj Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
30/06	FC Brno Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-3	5	1	L
27/06	Wolfsberger AC Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-2	2	0	L
15/05	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB I	1-0	2-2	12	5	D
02/05	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
25/04	Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
17/04	Ujpest Hungary NB I	0-3	2-7	3	4	L
11/04	Paksi Hungary NB I	1-0	2-0	7	2	W

Ujpest

DWWLLLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Radnik Bijeljina Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	3	1	W
04/07	Hartberg Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
27/06	Universitatea Cluj Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
20/06	Cegledi VSE Club Friendly List	1-0	4-0	16	1	W
16/05	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	0-2	1-2	6	7	L
03/05	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-2	0-5	3	5	L
25/04	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
17/04	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	3-0	7-2	6	4	W
11/04	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB I	1-0	3-0	1	3	W
04/04	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	1-1	2-2	9	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Ujpest?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nyiregyhaza Spartacus win (44%). Probabilities: Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 44%, draw 25%, Ujpest 31%.

How many goals are expected in Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Ujpest?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1.78 · Ujpest 1.46), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Nyiregyhaza Spartacus vs Ujpest?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.