Football · Hungary NB I · 11/10, 14:45

Prediction: Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus

Team pages: Zalaegerszegi TE · Nyiregyhaza Spartacus

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Zalaegerszegi TE1.41

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus1.51

1X2

34% 27% 39%

Zalaegerszegi TE Draw Nyiregyhaza Spartacus

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Zalaegerszegi TE 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLLLWL

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DDWLLWLDLD

Head-to-head

Zalaegerszegi TE 1–2–3 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus (6 last)

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus2-1Zalaegerszegi TE
Zalaegerszegi TE0-1Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus3-1Zalaegerszegi TE
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus0-0Zalaegerszegi TE
Zalaegerszegi TE2-0Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
Zalaegerszegi TE0-0Nyiregyhaza Spartacus

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zalaegerszegi TE 1460 · Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1528

	Zalaegerszegi TE	Draw	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
Our model	34%	27%	39%
Market	34%	27%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nyiregyhaza Spartacus (rating 1460 vs 1528).
H2H favours Nyiregyhaza Spartacus: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zalaegerszegi TE	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.3	1.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.7	2.7 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	5.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.30

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.02

2 (0)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.63▲	Bet365 2.63
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.70 → 2.30▼	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:41 +3’	2.25	3.30	2.70
21:23 +16’	2.63▲	3.30	2.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zalaegerszegi TE 1–2–3 Nyiregyhaza Spartacus

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Hungary NB I	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	2-1 HT 1-0	Zalaegerszegi TE
01/02/26 Hungary NB I	Zalaegerszegi TE	0-1 HT 0-0	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
04/10/25 Hungary NB I	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	3-1 HT 0-1	Zalaegerszegi TE
25/05/25 Hungary NB I	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	0-0 HT 0-0	Zalaegerszegi TE
01/04/25 Hungary Cup	Zalaegerszegi TE	2-0 HT 1-0	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
01/03/25 Hungary NB I	Zalaegerszegi TE	0-0 HT 0-0	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus

Standings · Hungary NB I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Puskas Academy	8	5	0	3	13	10	15
2	Gyori ETO	8	4	3	1	16	10	15
3	Vasas SC	8	4	2	2	17	11	14
4	Ujpest	8	4	2	2	17	13	14
5	Ferencvarosi TC	7	3	3	1	11	8	12
6	Paksi	8	3	2	3	16	17	11
7	MTK Budapest	8	2	3	3	15	14	9
8	Kisvarda FC	8	2	3	3	9	10	9
9	Debreceni VSC	8	2	3	3	12	15	9
10	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	8	2	2	4	9	14	8
11	Zalaegerszegi TE	8	2	0	6	7	17	6
12	Kispest Honved	7	1	3	3	11	14	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zalaegerszegi TE	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus
Ujpest	1-2 L	2-1 W
Gyori ETO	0-3 L	0-4 L
Ferencvarosi TC	0-1 L	1-1 D
Vasas SC	0-5 L	2-3 L
Paksi	5-2 W	1-1 D
MTK Budapest	0-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Nyiregyhaza Spartacus (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zalaegerszegi TE

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Ujpest Hungary NB I	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
06/09	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
29/08	Kispest Honved Hungary NB I	0-1	0-1	6	1	L
23/08	Gyori ETO Hungary NB I	0-1	0-3	7	7	L
17/08	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
08/08	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	0-2	0-5	6	4	L
03/08	Paksi Hungary NB I	3-2	5-2	3	6	W
27/07	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
16/05	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-0	0-3	2	2	L
01/05	Puskas Academy Hungary NB I	1-2	1-3	2	6	L

Nyiregyhaza Spartacus

DDWLLWLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
04/09	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	1-2	2-3	7	10	L
29/08	Paksi Hungary NB I	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
22/08	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
15/08	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
09/08	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
02/08	Gyori ETO Hungary NB I	0-1	0-4	7	6	L
24/07	Ujpest Hungary NB I	0-1	2-1	6	2	W
15/05	Kazincbarcikai BSC Hungary NB I	1-0	2-2	12	5	D
02/05	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	0-0	1-1	2	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nyiregyhaza Spartacus win (39%). Probabilities: Zalaegerszegi TE 34%, draw 27%, Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 39%.

How many goals are expected in Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Zalaegerszegi TE 1.41 · Nyiregyhaza Spartacus 1.51), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Zalaegerszegi TE vs Nyiregyhaza Spartacus?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.