Football · Hungary NB I · 10/10, 19:30
Prediction: Paksi vs MTK Budapest
Team pages: Paksi · MTK Budapest
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.86Total
Paksi2.35
MTK Budapest1.52
1X2
Paksi
Draw
MTK Budapest
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Paksi
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
MTK Budapest
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Paksi
5–1
MTK Budapest
(6 last)
- MTK Budapest0-2Paksi
- Paksi3-1MTK Budapest
- MTK Budapest2-3Paksi
- MTK Budapest1-2Paksi
- Paksi4-2MTK Budapest
- MTK Budapest3-1Paksi
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paksi (rating 1544 vs 1474).
- H2H favours Paksi: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Paksi | MTK Budapest | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 2 | 1.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.2 | 2.5 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paksi 5–0–1 MTK Budapest
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 Hungary NB I | MTK Budapest | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Paksi |
| 06/12/25 Hungary NB I | Paksi | 3-1 HT 1-0 | MTK Budapest |
| 24/08/25 Hungary NB I | MTK Budapest | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Paksi |
| 11/04/25 Hungary NB I | MTK Budapest | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Paksi |
| 07/12/24 Hungary NB I | Paksi | 4-2 HT 1-2 | MTK Budapest |
| 03/12/24 Hungary NB I | MTK Budapest | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Paksi |
Standings · Hungary NB I
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puskas Academy | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Gyori ETO | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Vasas SC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 14 |
| 4 | Ujpest | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 14 |
| 5 | Ferencvarosi TC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Paksi | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 17 | 11 |
| 7 | MTK Budapest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 9 |
| 8 | Kisvarda FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 9 | Debreceni VSC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 9 |
| 10 | Nyiregyhaza Spartacus | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 8 |
| 11 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 6 |
| 12 | Kispest Honved | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paksi | MTK Budapest |
|---|---|---|
| Kisvarda FC | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Debreceni VSC | 2-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Nyiregyhaza Spartacus | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Ujpest | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Puskas Academy | 2-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Kispest Honved | 2-2 D | 3-3 D |
| Zalaegerszegi TE | 2-5 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: MTK Budapest (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paksi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I |
1-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 21/08 | Ujpest Hungary NB I |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Puskas Academy Hungary NB I |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Kispest Honved Hungary NB I |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 03/08 | Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I |
2-3 | 2-5 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I |
2-2 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB I |
3-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I |
2-2 | 5-2 | 2 | 8 | W |
MTK Budapest
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Gyori ETO Hungary NB I |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 28/08 | Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Ujpest Hungary NB I |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 07/08 | Puskas Academy Hungary NB I |
0-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Kispest Honved Hungary NB I |
1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 27/07 | Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Puskas Academy Hungary NB I |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paksi vs MTK Budapest?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Paksi win (55%). Probabilities: Paksi 55%, draw 21%, MTK Budapest 24%.
How many goals are expected in Paksi vs MTK Budapest?
The model expects 3.86 goals (Paksi 2.35 · MTK Budapest 1.52), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Paksi vs MTK Budapest?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.