Football · Hungary NB I · 11/10, 19:00

Prediction: Gyori ETO vs Puskas Academy

Team pages: Gyori ETO · Puskas Academy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

Gyori ETO1.73

Puskas Academy1.43

1X2

43% 26% 31%

Gyori ETO Draw Puskas Academy

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Gyori ETO 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWDWDLWW

Puskas Academy 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWWLLW

Head-to-head

Gyori ETO 5–1 Puskas Academy (6 last)

Puskas Academy1-4Gyori ETO
Gyori ETO2-0Puskas Academy
Puskas Academy0-2Gyori ETO
Gyori ETO2-0Puskas Academy
Puskas Academy0-3Gyori ETO
Gyori ETO0-2Puskas Academy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gyori ETO 1584 · Puskas Academy 1523

	Gyori ETO	Draw	Puskas Academy
Our model	44%	25%	31%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gyori ETO (rating 1584 vs 1523).
H2H favours Gyori ETO: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gyori ETO	Puskas Academy
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1	1.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.2	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4	2.6 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.40

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Pinn 2.26 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.52
2	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 2.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.7% Pinnacle margin 6.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:19 +3’	2.05	3.40	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:43 +262’	2.25	3.53	2.95
15:41 +41’	2.26▲	3.52▼	2.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gyori ETO 5–0–1 Puskas Academy

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Hungary NB I	Puskas Academy	1-4 HT 0-1	Gyori ETO
20/12/25 Hungary NB I	Gyori ETO	2-0 HT 1-0	Puskas Academy
20/09/25 Hungary NB I	Puskas Academy	0-2 HT 0-2	Gyori ETO
12/04/25 Hungary NB I	Gyori ETO	2-0 HT 0-0	Puskas Academy
07/12/24 Hungary NB I	Puskas Academy	0-3 HT 0-1	Gyori ETO
04/12/24 Hungary NB I	Gyori ETO	0-2 HT 0-1	Puskas Academy

Standings · Hungary NB I

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Puskas Academy	8	5	0	3	13	10	15
2	Gyori ETO	8	4	3	1	16	10	15
3	Vasas SC	8	4	2	2	17	11	14
4	Ujpest	8	4	2	2	17	13	14
5	Ferencvarosi TC	7	3	3	1	11	8	12
6	Paksi	8	3	2	3	16	17	11
7	MTK Budapest	8	2	3	3	15	14	9
8	Kisvarda FC	8	2	3	3	9	10	9
9	Debreceni VSC	8	2	3	3	12	15	9
10	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus	8	2	2	4	9	14	8
11	Zalaegerszegi TE	8	2	0	6	7	17	6
12	Kispest Honved	7	1	3	3	11	14	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gyori ETO	Puskas Academy
MTK Budapest	2-1 W	3-2 W
Kispest Honved	3-2 W	3-1 W
Ferencvarosi TC	0-3 L	1-2 L
Kisvarda FC	1-1 D	0-2 L
Zalaegerszegi TE	3-0 W	0-1 L
Debreceni VSC	1-1 D	2-0 W
Vasas SC	2-2 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Puskas Academy (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gyori ETO

WWDWDWDLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
06/09	Kispest Honved Hungary NB I	0-0	3-2	3	6	W
03/09	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
30/08	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
23/08	Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I	1-0	3-0	2	7	W
16/08	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
02/08	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Hungary NB I	1-0	4-0	3	6	W
26/07	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	0-0	2-2	5	6	D
16/05	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	1-0	1-0	8	3	W
02/05	Diosgyori VTK Hungary NB I	2-0	4-0	4	3	W

Puskas Academy

WDWLWWWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Kispest Honved Hungary NB I	2-1	3-1	9	5	W
06/09	Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
30/08	Ferencvarosi TC Hungary NB I	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
22/08	Vasas SC Hungary NB I	0-0	1-0	11	3	W
16/08	Paksi Hungary NB I	2-1	3-2	2	2	W
07/08	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	2-0	3-2	4	6	W
31/07	Kisvarda FC Hungary NB I	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
26/07	Debreceni VSC Hungary NB I	2-0	2-0	4	6	W
15/05	MTK Budapest Hungary NB I	0-0	2-2	6	5	D
01/05	Zalaegerszegi TE Hungary NB I	2-1	3-1	8	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gyori ETO vs Puskas Academy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gyori ETO win (43%). Probabilities: Gyori ETO 43%, draw 26%, Puskas Academy 31%.

How many goals are expected in Gyori ETO vs Puskas Academy?

The model expects 3.15 goals (Gyori ETO 1.73 · Puskas Academy 1.43), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Gyori ETO vs Puskas Academy?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.