Football · Norway Cup · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: Eidsvold TF vs Fredrikstad

Team pages: Eidsvold TF · Fredrikstad

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.1Total
Eidsvold TF1.05
Fredrikstad3.05
1X2
5% 9% 85%
Eidsvold TF Draw Fredrikstad
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
Eidsvold TF 8-0-2 (W-D-L)
WWWLLWWWWW
Fredrikstad 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WDDLLLLWWW
Head-to-head
Eidsvold TF 0–1 Fredrikstad (1 last)
  • Eidsvold TF1-6Fredrikstad
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eidsvold TF 1592 · Fredrikstad 1491
Eidsvold TFDrawFredrikstad
Our model9%14%77%
Market2%6%92%
Estimated total (ours) 4.1 goals · Bet365 line 5.25 · -1.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eidsvold TF (rating 1592 vs 1491).
  • Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Eidsvold TFFredrikstad
Goals for / against (FT)3.1 / 1.20.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.7 / 0.40.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)80/0/20%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 5.42.3 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 02.6 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Eidsvold TF 001 Fredrikstad

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/08/20
Norway Division 2 Group 1
Eidsvold TF1-6
HT 0-1
Fredrikstad

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eidsvold TF

WWWLLWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Lørenskog
Norway Division 2 Group 2
4-0 7-1 21 W
08/08 Kjelsås
Norway Division 2 Group 2
1-0 1-0 W
02/08 Junkeren
Norway Division 2 Group 2
2-1 4-1 43 W
26/07 Trygg/Lade
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-1 2-1 91 W
26/06 Tromsdalen
Norway Division 2 Group 2
1-0 2-1 22 W
21/06 Honefoss
Norway Division 2 Group 2
1-0 1-2 65 L
14/06 Levanger
Norway Division 2 Group 2
0-2 1-3 63 L
30/05 Kjelsås
Norway Division 2 Group 2
1-0 4-0 53 W
25/05 Rana FK
Norway Division 2 Group 2
3-0 4-1 111 W
15/05 Ullensaker/Kisa
Norway Division 2 Group 2
4-0 5-2 44 W

Fredrikstad

WDDLLLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Kristiansund BK
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 1-0 24 W
08/08 IK Start
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 1-0 40 W
01/08 Sandefjord
Norway Eliteserien
1-0 1-0 61 W
27/07 Rosenborg
Norway Eliteserien
0-2 0-4 31 L
17/07 Bodo/Glimt
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 0-1 05 L
11/07 Lillestrom
Norway Eliteserien
0-0 0-2 84 L
04/07 Valerenga
Europe Friendlies
1-3 1-3 65 L
28/06 Elfsborg
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-0 31 D
20/06 Ham-Kam
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-1 41 D
29/05 IK Start
Norway Eliteserien
0-1 2-1 25 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eidsvold TF vs Fredrikstad?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Fredrikstad win (85%). Probabilities: Eidsvold TF 5%, draw 9%, Fredrikstad 85%.

How many goals are expected in Eidsvold TF vs Fredrikstad?

The model expects 4.1 goals (Eidsvold TF 1.05 · Fredrikstad 3.05), with a 62% chance of under 5.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Eidsvold TF vs Fredrikstad?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.