Football · Norway Cup · 22/08, 18:00
Prediction: Frigg vs Kjelsås
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.51Total
Frigg0.86
Kjelsås2.64
1X2
Frigg
Draw
Kjelsås
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Frigg
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Kjelsås
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Frigg
0–5
Kjelsås
(5 last)
- Kjelsås3-0Frigg
- Frigg1-2Kjelsås
- Kjelsås1-0Frigg
- Kjelsås4-1Frigg
- Kjelsås4-0Frigg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Frigg 1552 · Kjelsås 1537
| Frigg | Draw | Kjelsås | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 16% | 75% |
| Market | 9% | 16% | 75% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.51 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Kjelsås: 5-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Frigg | Kjelsås | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.6 | 1.9 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5 | 2.1 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Frigg 0–0–5 Kjelsås
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/23 Europe Friendlies | Kjelsås | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Frigg |
| 30/07/22 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Frigg | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Kjelsås |
| 23/04/22 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Kjelsås | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Frigg |
| 12/03/22 Europe Friendlies | Kjelsås | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Frigg |
| 26/04/17 Norway Cup | Kjelsås | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Frigg |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Frigg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 27/07 | IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 9 | D |
| 27/06 | Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | Lokomotiv Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Heming Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
Kjelsås
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/08 | Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 12/06 | Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Frigg vs Kjelsås?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kjelsås win (75%). Probabilities: Frigg 9%, draw 16%, Kjelsås 75%.
How many goals are expected in Frigg vs Kjelsås?
The model expects 3.51 goals (Frigg 0.86 · Kjelsås 2.64), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Frigg vs Kjelsås?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.