Football · Norway Cup · 22/08, 16:00

Prediction: Vard Haugesund vs Haugesund

Team pages: Vard Haugesund · Haugesund

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.38Total
Vard Haugesund1.19
Haugesund3.19
1X2
7% 11% 82%
Vard Haugesund Draw Haugesund
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-3
Recent form · 10 last
Vard Haugesund 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWWWLDDLLL
Haugesund 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
WWWLWWLWWL
Head-to-head
Vard Haugesund 1–1–4 Haugesund (6 last)
  • Haugesund8-1Vard Haugesund
  • Haugesund3-0Vard Haugesund
  • Haugesund1-2Vard Haugesund
  • Vard Haugesund0-6Haugesund
  • Haugesund2-0Vard Haugesund
  • Haugesund0-0Vard Haugesund
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vard Haugesund 1468 · Haugesund 1557
Vard HaugesundDrawHaugesund
Our model10%14%76%
Market4%9%87%
Estimated total (ours) 4.38 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Haugesund (rating 1468 vs 1557).
  • H2H favours Haugesund: 4-1-1.
  • High corners: 13.9 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Vard HaugesundHaugesund
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.83.4 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.71.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)4.8 / 7.83 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.5 / 03.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vard Haugesund 114 Haugesund

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/01/26
Europe Friendlies
Haugesund8-1
HT 5-1
Vard Haugesund
04/02/23
Europe Friendlies
Haugesund3-0
HT 1-0
Vard Haugesund
01/03/18
Europe Friendlies
Haugesund1-2
HT 0-1
Vard Haugesund
24/05/17
Norway Cup
Vard Haugesund0-6
HT 0-3
Haugesund
03/03/17
Europe Friendlies
Haugesund2-0
HT 0-0
Vard Haugesund
09/02/16
Club Friendly List
Haugesund0-0
HT 0-0
Vard Haugesund

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vard Haugesund

DWWWLDDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Austevoll
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-2 1-2 L
08/08 Djerv 1919
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-1 1-3 L
01/08 Gneist
Norway Division 3 Group 3
1-1 1-2 L
27/07 Sogndal 2
Norway Division 3 Group 3
1-1 4-4 102 D
28/06 Varegg
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-0 1-1 101 D
20/06 Austevoll
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-0 0-3 53 L
13/06 Førde
Norway Division 3 Group 3
0-0 1-0 W
01/06 Åsane Fotball 2
Norway Division 3 Group 3
1-0 3-1 70 W
22/05 Stord
Norway Division 3 Group 3
2-1 4-1 92 W
15/05 Djerv 1919
Norway Division 3 Group 3
1-1 1-1 67 D

Haugesund

WWWLWWLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
0-1 2-3 65 L
09/08 Raufoss
Norway Division 1
4-1 7-2 56 W
03/08 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
2-1 4-3 43 W
25/07 Bryne
Norway Division 1
1-0 1-2 73 L
05/07 Odd BK
Norway Division 1
1-0 3-1 55 W
27/06 Kongsvinger
Norway Division 1
3-2 4-2 104 W
21/06 Egersund
Norway Division 1
1-3 2-5 35 L
14/06 Ranheim
Norway Division 1
2-1 4-1 53 W
31/05 Raufoss
Norway Division 1
4-0 4-3 73 W
25/05 Moss
Norway Division 1
0-0 3-1 92 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vard Haugesund vs Haugesund?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Haugesund win (82%). Probabilities: Vard Haugesund 7%, draw 11%, Haugesund 82%.

How many goals are expected in Vard Haugesund vs Haugesund?

The model expects 4.38 goals (Vard Haugesund 1.19 · Haugesund 3.19), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Vard Haugesund vs Haugesund?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.